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Executive Analysis of the Global Medium and Heavy Duty Truck Transmissions Market 

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 73 pages

Summary

Table of Contents


Executive Analysis of the Global Medium and Heavy Duty Truck Transmissions Market : By 2025, 44% of New Trucks Globally to Feature AMT or AT

Better fuel economy, narrowing price difference with Manual Transmission (due to improving economies of scale) alongside exacerbating skilled driver shortage and increasing level of automated driving across developed economies are expediting the adoption of electronically controlled transmissions: Automated Manual Transmissions (AMTs) and Automatic Transmissions (ATs). This research service offers an outlook of the global medium- and heavy-duty commercial truck transmissions market for the period 2015–2025. The study also offers actionable information and forecasts of the key trends and metrics that are likely to influence the growth and development of the global medium- and heavy- duty commercial truck transmission systems market.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer

- What are the key trends impacting the MD-HD truck transmissions market?
- How will transmission systems evolve by 2025? What will be the market share of each technology?
- What will be the product focus of key transmission suppliers in each region?
- What will be the transmission strategy for truck OEMs across regions?
- What are the drivers and restraints for various transmission technologies?
- What is the projected volume of transmission sales in 2025?

Executive Summary—Key Findings

MD-HD Truck Transmissions Market: Key Findings, Global, 2015–2025

Electronically Controlled Transmissions (ECTs)—Automated Manual Transmissions (AMTs) and Automatic Transmissions (ATs)—presently have an incremental cost of $ –$ and offer - % to % fuel savings, depending on truck GVWR and duty cycle, over baseline manual transmissions. The typically high incremental cost versus fuel savings is the primary factor presently inhibiting mass adoption of ECTs.
With % share of the total million annual Medium Duty (MD)-Heavy Duty (HD) truck market by 2025, AMTs are expected to experience the highest rate of adoption in the next decade at a CAGR of % from 2015–2025. ATs are also expected to increase their share from % in 2015 to % in 2025. TRIAD markets are most favorable for ECT adoption.

Downspeeding, leading to engine downsizing, coupled with increasing vertical integration of transmissions in North America (NA), Europe, and Asia is catalyzing the adoption of ECTs. ECTs are favored by truck OEMs to meet the higher torque requirements placed by powertrain downspeeding. European truck manufacturers already offer AMTs as standard fitment in MD-HD trucks. This technology has a share of % in the EU market in 2015.

Fuel economy benefits of ECTs in higher GVWR vehicles (more than 16 tons) are yet to be conclusively proven. Therefore, this segment is still dominated by conventional Manual Transmissions (MTs), with skilled drivers, across regions. MTs account for % the global HD truck segment in 2015. However, the share of MTs is forecasted to decline steadily during the forecast period to % by 2025.
Better fuel economy of ECTs, narrowing price difference with MTs (due to improving economies of scale), exacerbating skilled driver shortage, and increasing level of automated driving across developed economies on both sides of the Atlantic are expediting the adoption of ECTs.

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