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  5. > Brunei Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

Brunei Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Despite significant offshore potential and ambitious government plans to expand Brunei’s upstream sector, the country has relatively small hydrocarbons reserves. This will limit oil and gas production, which will see only minor improvements over the coming five years. Brunei’s underdeveloped downstream sector holds much brighter prospects as the new refinery and petrochemical complex at Pulau Muara Besar, scheduled to open in 2018, will support further diversification of the country’s economy away from crude oil exports, creating new revenue streams from more specialised products.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts



- Despite significant offshore potential, we hold our view that Brunei’s oil and gas reserves will decline at a moderate pace across the coming decade. During 2016-2025, oil reserves will be shrinking at an average annual rate of 5.2%, while gas reserves will fall by 4.1% per annum.

- Brunei’s oil production is set to rise gradually over the next five years peaking at around 141,860b/d in 2021. Maturing fields and lack of new discoveries will push production lower in the second half of our forecast period, falling to 127,040b/d in 2025.

- Gas production will see gradual albeit stable improvements across the coming decade. We forecast the output to rise from 12.5bcm in 2015 to 14.6bcm in 2025.

Table Of Contents

Brunei Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Brunei Darussalam - Key Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 14
Latest Updates 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Oil Production (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2019) 16
Table: Oil Production (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 16
Upstream Production - Gas 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Gas Production (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2019) 17
Table: Gas Production (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 18
Refining 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2019) 20
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 20
Refined Fuels Consumption 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 21
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2019) 22
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 22
Gas Consumption 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Gas Consumption (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2019) 23
Table: Gas Consumption (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 23
Trade - Oil 24
Crude Oil 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2020) 25
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 26
Refined Fuels 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2019) 27
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 28
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Gas Net Exports (Brunei Darussalam 2014-2019) 29
Table: Gas Net Exports (Brunei Darussalam 2020-2025) 30
Industry Risk/Reward Index 31
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 31
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 32
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 34
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 37
Brunei - Risk/Reward Index 38
Market Overview 39
Energy Market Overview 39
Regulatory Structure 39
Fiscal Regime 39
Table: Brunei - Upstream Tax Regime 39
Licensing Regime 40
Table: Brunei - Contracts and Licensing Regime 40
Licensing Rounds 40
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 40
Oil Refineries 40
Oil Terminals 41
LNG Terminals 41
Regional Overview 42
Asia - Oil Outlook Subdued On Persistent Price Weakness 42
Glossary 50
Table: Glossary Of Terms 50
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Source 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 56
Table: Weighting 57

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