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Belarus Defence and Security Report 2016

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 35 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Throughout 2016, we expect Belarus to continue to align its security and economy with Russia, even though the former has begun deepening its diplomatic links with Western Europe. We expect defence spending to remain limited over the medium term due to low threats from domestic unrest, terrorism and interstate conflict as well as difficult economic conditions. New procurement will continue to focus on the aerospace segment, in line with the government's stated goal of building up the Belarusian air force. Due to the limited production capabilities of domestic manufacturers, contracts for aircraft and air defence systems will be awarded to foreign companies - predominantly from Russia.

In 2016 we expect the Belarusian defence budget to reach USD828mn. This is a relatively small figure - both on a regional and global comparison - and makes up only 1.4% of GDP, reflecting the low risks from
terrorism, domestic unrest and interstate conflict in the country, as well as difficult economic conditions. The majority of new procurement will focus on the aerospace segment, in line with the government's stated
goal of building up the capacity of the Belarusian air force.

Table Of Contents

Belarus Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast . 9
Defence Budget 9
Table: Defence Expenditure (Belarus 2013-2020) 9
Armed Forces . 11
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Belarus 2005-2012) . 12
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Belarus 2013-2020) . 12
Industry Risk Reward Index 13
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index .. 13
Table: Europe - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 13
Rewards .. 14
Risks . 15
Market Overview 16
Defence Market Overview . 16
Domestic Defence Sector . 17
Domestic Defence Market 18
International Partnerships .. 19
Security Overview 20
Domestic Threats .. 20
Regional Threats 22
International Threats 24
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 25
Company Profile . 26
Beltechexport 26
558 Aviation Repair Plant . 28
Minotor Service Company . 30
Minsk Wheeled Tractor Plant 32
Methodology . 33
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 33
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 34
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 34
Weighting 35
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index . 35

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