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Cameroon Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 92 pages

BMI View: With an FID on Golar LNG and a stronger-than-expected oil production growth, Cameroon benefited from an upward revision in both oil and gas production over our forecast period. In addition, the country will now become an LNG net exporter from 2017 onward, an important tool for exports diversification, notably after the large oil price drop over the past year. Nevertheless, we maintain that Cameroon remains a modest oil and gas producer and more exploration will need to take place to boost its long-term prospects further.

-Ongoing exploration provides much-needed upside risk to Cameroon's oil reserves. The country's offshore basins are the most prospective, with the Rio del Rey Basin to attract the most interest. In the context of bearish oil prices, we believe that Cameroon stands to benefit from international oil companies refocusing investments towards more proven and shallow-water offshore plays.

-This quarter we have slightly increased our Cameroon oil production forecast as a result of stronger-thanexpected oil production growth over H115. We now expect production will remain relatively stable at just under 90,000b/d until 2020 at minimum.

Table Of Contents

Cameroon Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Cameroon 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Cameroon Licensing Round 14
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Cameroon Upstream Project Database 15
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Cameroon 2013-2018) 19
Table: Oil Production (Cameroon 2019-2024) 19
Upstream Production - Gas 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Gas Production (Cameroon 2013-2018) 23
Table: Gas Production (Cameroon 2019-2024) 23
Refining 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Cameroon 2013-2018) 26
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Cameroon 2019-2024) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Cameroon 2013-2018) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Cameroon 2019-2024) 30
Gas Consumption 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Cameroon 2013-2018) 33
Table: Gas Consumption (Cameroon 2019-2024) 34
Trade - Oil 35
Crude Oil Forecasts 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Cameroon 2013-2019) 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Cameroon 2019-2024) 37
Refined Fuels Trade Forecasts 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Cameroon 2013-2018) 38
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Cameroon 2019-2024) 39
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends 40
Industry Risk/Reward Index 44
Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: BMI's Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 47
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 50
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 50
Cameroon - Risk/Reward Index 52
Market Overview 54
Cameroon Energy Market Overview 54
Regulatory Structure 54
Fiscal Regime 55
Table: Cameroon Fiscal Regime 55
Licensing Regime 55
Table: Cameroon Licensing Regime 55
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 56
Oil Refineries 56
Table: Refineries In Cameroon 57
Service Stations 57
Oil Storage Facilities 57
Oil Terminals/Ports 57
Oil Pipelines 57
LNG Terminal 58
Competitive Landscape 60
Competitive Landscape Summary 60
Table: Key Players - Cameroon Energy Sector 62
Table: Key Upstream Players 62
Table: Key Downstream Players 62
Company Profile 63
Perenco 63
Other Summaries 68
Regional Overview 77
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 77
Glossary 85
Table: Glossary Of Terms 85
Methodology 87
Industry Forecast Methodology 87
Source 89
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 89
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 91
Table: Weighting 92

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