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Serbia Defence and Security Report 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 46 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Serbian defence spending will remain modest in 2017, amid the government’s ongoing fiscal consolidation programme. Despite the armed forces’ requirements to replace much of its ageing equipment - particularly in the aerospace segment - new procurement will therefore be limited. Beyond 2017, military expenditure will increase gradually as economic conditions improve, reflecting persistent security risks stemming from unresolved disputes with neighbouring countries, separatists and ultra-nationalist groups - as well as Belgrade’s aim to strengthen Serbia’s contribution to international peacekeeping missions. Serbian defence manufacturers, most of whom specialise in the ground segment, will, due to the lack of domestic demand for their products, remain export-focused especially towards the Gulf. Although we expect the local defence industry to expand design and production capabilities in cooperation with foreign companies over the next decade, Serbian purchases of technologically advanced equipment such as fighter jets will still need to come from abroad, as such items take years and significant amounts of funding to develop.


Latest Updates


- The Serbian government is continuing its fiscal consolidation programme into 2017, which will prevent any significant growth in the defence budget this year, despite the SAF’s long-standing requirements to replace ageing equipment. We forecast Serbian defence spending to come in at USD761.4 in 2017 - a minimal increase from 2016.

Table Of Contents

Serbia Defence and Security Report 2017
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Defence Expenditure (Serbia 2015-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Defence Expenditure 9
Table: Defence Expenditure (Serbia 2014-2019) 10
Table: Defence Expenditure (Serbia 2020-2025) 10
Defence Trade 12
Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Table: Europe - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Rewards 16
Risks 17
Market Overview 18
Defence Market Overview 18
Domestic Defence Sector 18
Domestic Defence Market 21
Armed Forces Overview 23
Armed Forces 24
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Serbia 2008-2013) 24
Table: Serbian Armed Forces (SAF) - Overseas Deployments 26
Security Overview 27
Domestic Threats 27
Regional Threats 32
International Threats 36
Company Profile 37
Krusik 37
Prvi Partizan 39
Zastava Arms 40
Methodology 42
Industry Forecast Methodology 42
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 43
Sector-Specific Methodology 45
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 45
Weighting 46
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 46

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