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Ukraine Defence and Security Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 35 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Ukraine-Russia conflict has become somewhat frozen with skirmishes between Ukrainianforces and pro-Russian separatists flaring up every so often despite the ceasefire. Although Russia'sattention has turned inwards and to de-escalation, we do not expect Ukraine to become complacent with itsdefence. As such, we forecast a continued uptick in defence spending throughout 2016 and over the mediumterm. We see President Poroshenko continuing to reform and invest in the country's out-of-date defenceindustry as well as develop greater international ties.However, we caution that systemic corruption and oligarchy remain fully entrenched in Ukraine's politicallandscape creating an unfavourable operating environment for foreign investors. Furthermore, ifPoroshenko wishes to remain in popular seating, he will have to divert spending to other pressing areas ofthe economy over the medium to long term, especially as the conflict with Russia is unlikely to have adecisive end for the foreseeable future.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Defence Budget 9
Table: Defence Expenditure (Ukraine 2012-2019) 10
Defence Trade 11
Armed Forces 11
Industry Risk Reward Index 13
Ukraine Security Risk Index 13
Table: Europe - Defence Security Risk Index 13
Market Overview 16
Defence Market Overview 16
Security Overview 20
Domestic Threats 20
Regional Threats 24
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 25
Company Profile 27
Motor Sich 27
Ukroboronprom 30
Methodology 33
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 33
Sector-Specific Methodology 34
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 34
Weighting 35
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 35

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