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Turkmenistan Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 33 pages

BMI View: The relatively small Turkmen construction market will be driven by continued governmentspending and increasing investment in the country's key gas infrastructure, along with major inter-regionalgas and rail interconnectivity projects. However, key risks to our forecasts are falling gas demand fromChina and Russia, increasing macroeconomic pressures and an uncompetitive business and investmentenvironment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Construction industry growth will slow slightly in 2016 to 7.5% due to economic headwinds. However,our 10-year forecast sees average annual growth of 7.7% and a value of TMT38.4bn (USD9.0bn) in2024.

- The key sectors for development will be those related to trade and the transit of goods, so we expecttransport, especially rail, along with energy, particularly gas production and transmission (pipelines), toremain the key investment areas.

- Construction on the long-awaited USD10bn Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India gas pipelineproject began in December 2015, with Türkmengaz the construction lead.

Table Of Contents

Turkmenistan Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2014-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Turkmenistan 2015-2015) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Latest Updates 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Turkmenistan 2014-2024) 9
Structural Trends 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 17
Industry Risk Reward Index 17
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 21
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 25
Methodology 26
Industry Forecast Methodology 26
Sector-Specific Methodology 27
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 31
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 32
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 33

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