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Uzbekistan Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 33 pages

BMI View: Russia's economic slowdown has taken a toll on Uzbekistan's Construction industry. However,growth will resume its moderate long-term trajectory in 2016, with a raft of major projects in a pipelinethat receives significant development bank and government investment, as well as from key tradepartners such as China and South Korea. Growth will average 4.5% annually over our 10 year forecast to2024, when the industry value will reach UZS45.8bn (USD8.5Bbn).

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Uzbekistan announced a five-year USD55bn plan to carry out 900 projects to modernise industrialfacilities and build infrastructure, especially in the gas petrochemical sectors and construction of roadsand airports.

- Uzbek President Islam Karimov signed a resolution on 317 new projects for 2016-2017 worth upwards ofUSD16.9bn.

- Several major rail projects, including the USD1.9bn Pan-Algren line, will expedite trade with China andform part of the Silk Road Economic Belt China is investing heavily in.

- The sector with the largest stake of our Key Projects Database is industrial construction, with USD11bnof the pipeline. The USD4.5bn Ustyurt Gas Chemical Complex and USD3.9bn Surgil Gas andPetrochemical Complex are under construction.

Table Of Contents

Uzbekistan Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2014-2020) 6
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Uzbekistan 2015-2015) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Latest Updates 9
Table: Uzbekistan 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 9
Structural Trends 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 21
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 25
Methodology 26
Industry Forecast Methodology 26
Sector-Specific Methodology 27
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 31
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 32
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 33

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