1. Market Research
  2. > Tourism and Leisure Market Trends
  3. > Belize Country Risk Report 2015

Belize Country Risk Report 2015

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 25 pages

Core Views

Belize will post slower growth rates over the next decade than overthe last 20 years, underpinned by our expectation that productivitygains will remain limited. Furthermore, the government will be unableto pursue much-needed reforms in infrastructure and education dueto a lack of available funding, further dampening Belize's long-termgrowth prospects.Belize's current account deficit will remain substantial over our10-year forecast period to 2024 due to declining oil production andweakening export growth.

Public debt sustainability will remain precarious over the next severalyears, as Belize's debt load continues to grow. A rising debt burden,combined with a history of defaults, will drive up financing costs andincrease rollover risk in the country.Belize will continue along its present political trajectory over thenext 10 years, with the government remaining unable to effectivelytackle corruption and violent crime. Nevertheless, Belizean societywill remain relatively stable and future transitions of power will occurwithin Belize's constitutional framework.Major Forecast ChangesWe have revised up our real GDP growth forecasts for the next decadeto an average annual growth rate of 3.1%, from 2.9% previously, toreflect the growing labour force, increased foreign direct investmentinto the agricultural sector and a stronger outlook for tourist arrivals.

Table Of Contents

Belize Country Risk Report 2015
Executive Summary 5
Core Views5
Major Forecast Changes5
Key Risks5
Chapter 1: Political Outlook 7
SWOT Analysis 7
BMI Political Risk Index 7
Long-Term Political Outlook 8
Corruption And Violent Crime To Remain Atop The Agenda8
Belize will continue along its present political trajectory over the next 10 years, with the government remaining unable to effectively
tackle corruption, and violent crime posing an ongoing threat to citizens Nevertheless, Belizean society will remain stable, and future
transitions of power will occur within the country's constitutional framework
Chapter 2: Economic Outlook 11
SWOT Analysis 11
BMI Economic Risk Index 11
GDP By Expenditure Outlook 12
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS12
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS12
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS12
Outlook On External Position 13
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS13
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS EXPORTS IN 201414
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS IMPORTS IN 201414
Structural Fiscal Position 15
Long-Term Economic Outlook 16
Little Cause For Optimism16
Economic growth in Belize will remain subdued over the next 10 years, as the country continues to run substantial current account and
fiscal deficits The government will be unable to pursue structural reforms due to a lack of available funding, which will weigh on Belize's
long-term growth prospects
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS17
Chapter 3: Demographic Outlook 19
Demographic Forecast 19
TABLE: POPULATION BY AGE GROUP (1990-2025)20
TABLE: POPULATION BY AGE GROUP, % (1990-2025)20
TABLE: POPULATION HEADLINE INDICATORS (1990-2025)21
TABLE: KEY POPULATION RATIOS (1990-2025)21
TABLE: URBAN/RURAL POPULATION and LIFE EXPECTANCY (1990-2025)21
Chapter 4: BMI Global Macro Outlook 23
Global Macro Outlook 23
Emerging Markets Bending, Not Breaking23
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS23
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %24
TABLE: BMI VERSUS BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS, % 24
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %25

View This Report »

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 24 Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 10,000 trusted sources
24/7 Customer Support

Talk to Veronica

+1 718 514 2762

Purchase Reports From Reputable Market Research Publishers
Global Tourism Spend Analytics to 2020: Accommodation, Entertainment and Sightseeing, Foodservice, Retail, Transportation, Travel Intermediation, Others

Global Tourism Spend Analytics to 2020: Accommodation, Entertainment and Sightseeing, Foodservice, Retail, Transportation, Travel Intermediation, Others

  • $ 14995
  • Industry report
  • October 2016
  • by Canadean Ltd

Summary Tourism Spend (Expenditure under taken on Travel and Tourism related commodities by a tourist within a country. This expenditure is categorized in to accommodation, sightseeing and entertainment, ...

Global Tourism Demand and Flow, 2011 - 2020: Domestic and International Trips Analytics

Global Tourism Demand and Flow, 2011 - 2020: Domestic and International Trips Analytics

  • $ 14995
  • Industry report
  • October 2016
  • by Canadean Ltd

Summary Tourism Demand (Factors that influence time and money spent on tourism. Typical factors include the number of holiday days available to an employee in their country and mean household income) and ...

Global Travel Intermediaries Business, 2011 to 2020

Global Travel Intermediaries Business, 2011 to 2020

  • $ 14995
  • Industry report
  • October 2016
  • by Canadean Ltd

Summary Travel Intermediaries (part of a business that assists in selling travel products and services to customers, which may include airline tickets, car rentals, hotels, railway tickets, and package ...

Enhanced Monthly Statistics

December 2016 $ 9600

ref:plp2016

Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2016. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.