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Indonesia - Mobile Infrastructure, Broadband, Operators - Statistics and Analyses

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd
  • -
  • 26 pages

There has been considerable energy and turmoil in Indonesia's telecom sector over the last decade or so. Growth, both in subscriber numbers and in revenues, has been strong and, more importantly, there are signs that the changes in the regulatory regime and operator restructuring are starting to have a positive effect on the industry. The mobile market has been especially positive. There was a good response to the launch of the more recent launch of 4G/LTE services.

Whilst broadband users has grown on back of a surge in mobile broadband subscriptions and smartphone sales, fixed internet connections remained relatively low, despite broadband development having accelerated. Fixed broadband penetration was still under 2% by 2016 and broadband household penetration was a low 5%.

Continued progress in the development of the telecom sector will need further government action on restructuring the industry. A stumbling start to building the country's fixed-line network was followed by a solid fresh start, aided by the embracing of fixed-wireless technology, which became the dominant component within that market segment. However, the fixed market is now a minor segment and in decline. This is even more the situation with internet which is still in a relatively early stage of development.

Invigorated by the highly successful mobile segment on the back of increased competition in the marketplace, the country's telecom industry has found a new dynamic. The all-important national backbone network is taking shape and on the service side the rapid increase in mobile broadband subscriptions and smartphone take up has been remarkable. However, there had been some signs that the government was hesitating in its efforts to restructure the industry.

Key developments:
Indonesia's economy continued its run of strong positive growth, with GDP increasing by 4%-6% in 2015/16.
The mobile market in Indonesia has been growing strongly, but at a more modest rate than previously (less than 10% annually).
The fixed line market (wireless and wireline) continues to suffer setbacks with a rapidly declining subscriber base.
Broadband services were finally starting to grow, boosted by surging mobile broadband.
Construction of the US$1.5 billion Palapa Ring optical fibre cable project is continuing.
Government initiative on national infrastructure to push fibre and 4G coverage nationwide.
Market leader Telkomsel was continuing to dominate the mobile market, with its mobile subscriber base of around 45% market share.
Having acquired rival operator Axis, by early 2015 Axiata had adopted a dual-brand strategy, promoting both XL and Axis equally.
In December 2015 Singapore telecom companies announced plans to build fibre optic network in some Indonesia's major cities.
By 2016 Internet and multimedia services provider Biznet Networks had expanded the reach of its Indonesian fibre-optic stretching from Java to Bali and Sumatra.

Companies mentioned in this report include:
PT Telkom; PT Indosat; Bakrie Telecom (BTEL); Qatar Telecom (QTel); PT Satelindo; SingTel; ThaiCom. PT Telkomsel, Mobile-8, Smart Telecom, PT Bakrie Telecom SingTel, Temasek; PT Sarana Menara Nusantara; PT Tower Bersama.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia - Mobile Infrastructure, Broadband, Operators - Statistics and Analyses
1. Synopsis
2. Market Overview and analysis
3. Mobile statistics
3.1 General statistics
3.1.1 Operator Statistics
3.2 Mobile voice
3.3 Mobile data
3.3.1 Mobile TV
3.3.2 Mobile Data Market Trends
3.3.3 Smartphone Sales Statistics
3.4 Mobile broadband statistics
3.5 Forecasts
3.5.1 Notes on scenario forecasts
4. Regulatory issues
4.1 Overview (general laws and regulations)
4.1.1 Near Field Communication (NFC)
4.2 Spectrum
4.3 MNP
5. Mobile infrastructure
5.1 Digital networks
5.1.1 3G
5.1.2 4G/ LTE
5.2 Other infrastructure developments
5.2.1 WLL
5.3 IoT and M2M networks
5.3.1 M2M
6. Major mobile operators
6.1 XL Axiata
6.1.1 Overview
6.1.2 Developments
6.1.3 Operational statistics
6.1.4 Business and network strategies
6.2 PT Telkomsel
6.2.1 Overview
6.2.2 Mobile statistics
6.3 Indosat Ooredoo
6.3.1 Overview
6.3.2 Financials
6.3.3 Mobile and fixed Wireless statistics
6.3.4 3G Network
6.3.5 4G / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
6.4 PT Hutchison 3 Indonesia
6.5 WLL Operators
6.5.1 PT Telkom
6.5.2 PT Indosat
6.5.3 Bakrie Telecom
6.6 PT SmartFren Telecom (SmartFren)
6.7 PT Bakrie Telecom (BTEL)
6.8 Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia (STI) / Ceria
6.9 Internux (Bolt!)
7. Mobile content and applications
7.1 m-TV
8. Mobile handsets
9. Related reports
Table 1 Mobile subscribers 1995 - 2016
Table 2 Major mobile operators by System
Table 3 Mobile subscribers and market share by operator 2015
Table 4 Prepaid subscribers selected mobile operators 2015
Table 5 Smartphone users and penetration 2011 - 2015
Table 6 Mobile broadband subscribers 2009 - 2016
Table 7 Forecast of mobile subscribers and penetration rates 2015; 2020
Table 8 Frequency spectrum overview - major mobile operators September 2015
Table 9 Historical 3G mobile operators and subscribers 2013
Table 10 Fixed-wireless (WLL) subscribers 2003; 2007 - 2015
Table 11 Fixed-wireless (WLL) subscribers by operator 2013 - 2015
Table 12 XL Axiata mobile subscribers 2005 - 2015
Table 13 XL Axiata -mobile subscribers postpaid vs prepaid 2013 - 2015
Table 14 XL Axiata: blended ARPU 2012 2015
Table 15 Telkomsel mobile subscribers postpaid, prepaid and market share 1999 - 2016
Table 16 Telkomsel's mobile broadband subscribers 2011 - 2015
Table 17 Telkomsel subscribers postpaid and prepaid 2001 - 2015
Table 18 Telkomsel prepaid subscribers as proportion of total 2002; 2004; 2009 - 2015
Table 19 PT Indosat revenue and contribution by market segment 2015
Table 20 PT Indosat revenue contribution by market segment 2011 - 2015
Table 21 PT Indosat mobile subscribers 2005 - 2015
Table 22 PT Indosat - postpaid and prepaid mobile subscribers 2015
Table 23 PT Indosat postpaid and prepaid mobile ARPU 2011 - 2015
Table 24 PT Indosat: 3G subscribers (historical) 2012 - 2013
Table 25 PT Indosat fixed wireless subscribers (historical) 2006 - 2014
Table 26 3 Indonesia subscribers 2007 - 2015
Table 27 PT Telkom's fixed wireless subscribers 2003 - 2015
Table 28 PT Telkom fixed-line subscribers - wireless v. wireline 2015
Table 29 SmartFren subscribers 2010 - 2015
Table 30 Bakrie Telecom subscribers 2004 - 2014
Table 31 Bakrie Telecom postpaid and prepaid fixed wireless subscribers 2011 - 2014
Table 32 Bakrie Telecom - subscribers voice v. data March 2014
Table 33 Bakrie Telecom's pre and postpaid ARPU 2004 - 2014
Chart 1 - Mobile subscribers and penetration 2007 - 2016
Chart 2 - Mobile subscribers and market share by operator - 2015
Exhibit 1 Major shareholders in PT Indosat

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