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Global Economic Outlook 2016 

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 58 pages

Global Economic Outlook 2016 : Recovery in Advanced Economies and Slowdown in Key Emerging Economies Likely

The global economy is finally stabilizing after the Great Recession, although some weak spots and new risks remain in the growth trajectory. In 2016, the growth of very promising economies such as the United States and the United Kingdom is expected, while economies such as Japan and China are likely to slow down. Furthermore, a slowdown is underway for some key emerging markets like Brazil and Russia. This Frost & Sullivan study explores the 2015 trends that have a bearing on 2016 global economy, while highlighting the top predictions for 2016.

Global oil demand is expected to increase to Million barrels per day (bpd) in 2016, driven by growth in Europe and Asia. Production from the United States is expected to fall barrels to Million bpd in 2016.

But the oil glut will persist at least until 2016, given OPEC’s oil pumping and with sanctions having been lifted on Iran. Oil prices may increase moderately to $ per barrel in 2016 and they are likely to remain extremely volatile.

Fed Policy Decisions Anticipated hikes in the US interest rates to 1%-1.5% by the end of 2016 may not counter the country’s growth. However, the hikes may reduce capital flow into the emerging economies. Commodity Prices

After a slump in prices in the last four years, commodity prices may slightly rise in 2016. The plunge in oil prices since 2014, dollar appreciation, and China’s efforts to transition to a service-driven economy from manufacturing have adversely hit major non-energy commodity prices. Due to an expected pickup in oil price movement, commodity prices may slightly rise in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Global Economic Outlook 2016 
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
1 Top Economic Trends of 2015
2 Top Economic Predictions—2016
3 Top Predictions in 2016—Advanced Economies
4 Top Predictions in 2016—BRIC Nations
5 World's 20 Largest Economies in 2015
6 World's 20 Fastest Growing Economies in 2015 and 2016
7 World Economic Snapshot—2014-2016

2 RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVE AND DEFINITIONS

Research Scope, Objective and Definitions
1 Research Scope
2 Definitions of Indicators and Measurements

3 WORLD ECONOMY IN 2015

World Economy in 2015
1 Snapshot by Key Regions—Top Trends in 2015
2 Uneven Economic Growth Globally in 2015-2016
3 Slow Growing Emerging Economies will Dampen 2015-16 Outlook
4 Declining Oil and Commodity Prices—What is Behind the Drop?
5 Exchange Rate Movements
6 Industrial Production and Merchandise Trade

4 GLOBAL OUTLOOK FOR 2016

Global Outlook for 2016
1 Global GDP Outlook—2016
2 Global Inflation Outlook—2016
3 Global Trade Position—2016
4 World Investment Position—2016

5 RISKS TO THE GLOBAL OUTLOOK

Risks to the Global Outlook
1 What are the Risks to Global Growth?
2 Financial and Economic Risks
3 Geopolitical Risks

6 REGIONAL OUTLOOK 2016—EUROPE

Regional Outlook 2016—Europe
1 Europe—Growth Upticks, Slowdown in Emerging Economies Hit Exports
2 Europe Economic Outlook 2016
3 Europe 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges

7 REGIONAL OUTLOOK 2016—NORTH AMERICA

Regional Outlook 2016—North America
1 North America—US Strengthens; Canada Recovers
2 North America 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges

8 REGIONAL OUTLOOK 2016—LATIN AMERICA

Regional Outlook 2016—Latin America
1 Latin America—Weak Growth in 2015, 2016 may Show Rebound
2 Largest Economies in Latin America: What is the Outlook?
3 Latin America 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges

9 REGIONAL OUTLOOK 2016—ASIA-PACIFIC

Regional Outlook 2016—Asia-Pacific
1 Asia-Pacific—Strong Growth, Buoyed Confidence, and Demand Recovery
2 Asia-Pacific 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges

10 REGIONAL OUTLOOK 2016—THE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

Regional Outlook 2016—The Middle East and Africa
1 The Middle East—Low Oil Prices, Geopolitical Risks Dampen Growth
2 Africa—Dull Commodity Outlook and EI Niño Dampen Growth
3 The Middle East and Africa 2016—Risks and Policy Challenges

11 KEY CONCLUSIONS

Key Conclusions
1 Key Conclusions

12 APPENDIX

Appendix
1 Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries—North America
2 Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries—Latin America
3 Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries—Asia-Pacific
4 Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries—Western Europe
5 Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries—Eastern Europe
6 Important Macroeconomic Indicators for Selected Countries—The Middle East and Africa
7 Legal Disclaimer
8 Methodology

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