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Sudan and South Sudan Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Based on data published by some of the operators for Q3 2015, we estimate that Sudan had 27.4mnmobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by 2.2% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobilepenetration rate of just over 68%. In the five years to 2020, we now predict that Sudan's mobile marketwill grow to surpass 29mn mobile customers. 3G subscriptions are expected to grow from 22.7% ofmobile subscriptions in 2015 to 41.5% of the total market in 2020.

- We estimate that South Sudan had 3.34mn mobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by17.3% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobile penetration rate of 27.0%. We expect there to be around 4.8mnmobile subscriptions and a penetration rate of 33.9% in South Sudan by 2020. We estimate that 3Gsubscriptions accounted for 10.0% of South Sudanese mobile subscribers in 2015 and expect 3Gsubscribers to rise to 23.6% of total subscriptions by 2020.

Table Of Contents

Sudan and South Sudan Telecommunications Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 8
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Sudan 2013-2020) 14
Sudan 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sudan 2013-2020) 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 17
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 20
Table: Regional RRI Comparison, Q216 21
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index, Q2 2016 22
South Sudan Industry Risk Reward Index 24
Sudan Industry Risk Reward Index 25
Market Overview 27
South Sudan 27
Market Drivers and Trends 27
Mobile 27
Wireline Voice and Broadband 32
Pay-TV/Convergence 33
Sudan 33
Market Drivers and Trends 33
Mobile 34
Wireline Voice and Broadband 41
Pay-TV/Convergence 42
Regulatory Development 43
Sudan 43
South Sudan 43
Competitive Landscape 45
Table: Key Players - Sudan 45
Table: Key Players - South Sudan 45
Table: MTN Sudan 45
Table: Zain Sudan 46
Table: Sudatel 47
Table: MTN South Sudan 47
Table: Zain South Sudan 48
Company Profile 50
Zain Sudan 50
Sudatel 55
MTN 59
Table: MTN Indicators, 2013-2015 62
Demographic Forecast 64
Sudan Demographic Forecast 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sudan 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sudan 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Sudan 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Sudan 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sudan 1990-2025) 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Terms 69
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Sources 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 75

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