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South Africa Shipping Report Q1 2015

  • January 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 114 pages

Growth at South African ports is threatened by the global headwinds that are posing challenges for the country as a whole, namely the China slowdown and the drying up of foreign inflows due to the raised possibility that the extraordinarily loose monetary policy that has been the norm in the US is tapered off. However, with continued investment in facilities, growth in private final consumption, and ever-expanding coal exports, we forecast growth in both total tonnage and container volumes at South African ports in 2015.

Headline Industry Data

- Richards Bay Port tonnage throughput in 2015 is forecast to return to growth at 2.0% following a 2014 decline. Over the medium term to 2019 we project a 2.2% average annual increase.
- Port of Durban container throughput is forecast to grow by 2.5% in 2015. Growth will average 3.2% per annum in the medium-term forecast period to 2019.
- 2015 total trade growth is forecast at 4.3%, and to average 4.4% per annum to 2019.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Shipping Report Q1 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Shipping 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Industry Forecast 12
Port Of Durban Throughput 12
Port Of Richards Bay Throughput 16
Table: Major Ports Data, (South Africa 2012-2018) 19
Table: Trade Overview (South Africa 2011-2018) 22
Table: Key Trade Indicators (South Africa 2011-2018) 22
Table: South Africa's Main Import Partners, 2004-2012 23
Table: South Africa's Main Export Partners, 2004-2012 24
Market Overview 26
South Africa Container Shipping Market Overview 26
Industry Trends And Developments 34
South Africa Company Profile 38
Safmarine 38
Deutsche Afrika-Linien (DAL) 42
Shipping - Global Industry View 44
Container Shipping Demand: 44
Container Shipping Supply: 52
Table: Alliance Overview 57
Container Shipping Rates: Fuel Surcharges To Kick Off 2015 58
Global Company Strategy 62
Maersk Line 62
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 72
CMA CGM 78
Evergreen Line 90
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 97
Macroeconomic Forecasts 105
Economic Analysis 105
Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR 105
Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2009-2018) 110
Demographic Forecast 111
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 112
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 112
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 113
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 113
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 114

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