4Q10 Eastern Europe Mobile Operator Forecast, 2010 - 2014

  • January 2011
  • -
  • IE Market Research Corp.

IEMR’s Mobile Operator Forecast on Eastern Europe provides operational and financial metrics for the Eastern European wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2014. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 2Q2012. Our Regional forecasts contain separate data for each country and their mobile operators. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Countries covered in this report are: Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia, Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Georgia, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Kosovo, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Moldova, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Tadjikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan.

By purchasing this report, you will receive an Excel file with 29 country datasheets. In each datasheet, we cover operational and financial metrics including post-paid subscribers, prepaid subscribers, subscriber growth, net subscriber adds, monthly ARPU, ARPU growth, service revenue, EBITDA and CAPEX*. In addition, the report contains a Pivot Table which enables you to select specific metrics and customize the results based on country and mobile network operator. This allows for quick access to desired data, the ability to quickly benchmark supplier metrics across regions, saving the time typically wasted scrolling through the data and allowing for comparisons across countries and suppliers.

Table Of Contents

Countries Covered in this Regional Mobile Operator Forecast
Albania
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Bosnia Herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Estonia
Georgia
Hungary
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Kosovo
Latvia
Lithuania
Macedonia
Moldova
Montenegro
Poland
Romania
Russia
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Tadjikistan
Turkmenistan
Ukraine
Uzbekistan

Companies Covered in this Regional Mobile Operator Forecast
Albania
AMC (Albanian Mobile Communications)
Vodafone Albania (Vodafone Plc)
Eagle Mobile

Armenia
K-Telecom CJSC (VivaCell-MTS)
ArmenTel (BeeLine)
Orange Armenia (France Telecom S.A.)

Azerbaijan
Azercell Telecom LLC
Bakcell Ltd.
Azerfon LLC (NAR Mobile)
Catel (Caspian American Telecom LLC)

Belarus
MTS (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC)
Velcom (FE VELCOM)
Life:) Turkcell (BeST - Belarusian Telecommunications Network CJSC)
Diallog (Belcel JV)

Bosnia Herzegovina
BH Telecom d.d Sarajevo (GSM BiH)
M:tel (Telekom Srpske JSC Banjaluka)
Eronet (HT Mostar)

Bulgaria
M-Tel (Mobiltel EAD)
GLOBUL (Cosmo Bulgaria Mobile EAD)
Vivacom (Bulgarian Telecommunications Company)

Croatia
T-Mobile Croatia (Deutsche Telekom AG)
VIPnet d.o.o.
Tele2 Croatia (Tele2 AB)

Czech Republic
Telefónica O2 Czech Republic a.s.
T-Mobile Czech Republic a.s.
Vodafone Czech Republic a.s.
MobilKom, a.s. (U:fon)

Estonia
EMT Estonia (AS EMT)
Elisa Estonia (Elisa Eesti AS)
Tele2 Estonia (Tele2 Eesti AS)
Televõrgu AS

Georgia
MagtiCom Ltd.
Geocell LLC
Mobitel Georgia (BeeLine)
Aquafon
A-Mobile

Hungary
T-Mobile Hungary (Magyar Telekom Nyrt.)
Telenor Hungary Ltd. (Pannon)
Vodafone Hungary (Vodafone Group Plc)

Kazakhstan
Kcell (GSM Kazakhstan OJSC Kazakhtelecom LLP)
Kar-Tel LLP (BeeLine)
Altel (Dalacom)
Mobile Telecom Service LLP (NeoTelecom)

Kyrgyzstan
Sky Mobile LLC (BeeLine) (BITEL)
MegaCom (Alfa Telecom Joint Stock Company)
AkTel (Fonex)
Katel
Nexi
NUR Telecom LLC (O!)

Kosovo
Vala (Post and Telecom of Kosovo)
IPKO Telecommunications LLC

Latvia
LMT (Latvijas Mobilais Telefons)
Tele2 AB
Bite Latvia (BITE Group)
Triatel (AS Telekom Baltija)

Lithuania
Omnitel (TeliaSonera Group)
Tele2 AB
Bite Lithuania (BITE Group)

Macedonia
ONE Stock Company Skopje (Cosmofon)
T-Mobile Macedonia (Deutsche Telekom AG)
Vip operator DOOEL Skopje (Telekom Austria Group)

Moldova
Orange Moldova (France Telecom S.A.)
Moldcell S.A.
InterDnestrCom
Eventis Mobile (License suspended in 2010)

Montenegro
Telenor Montenegro (Telenor ASA)
T-Mobile Montenegro (Deutsche Telekom AG)
MTEL (Društvo za telekomunikacije m:tel d.o.o.)

Poland
PTC (T-Mobile International AG) (Era)
Polkomtel S.A. (Plus)
Orange Polska (PTK Centertel)
Play (Novator)

Romania
Orange Romania (France Telecom S.A.)
Vodafone Romania (Vodafone Group)
Cosmote Romania (Cosmote Mobile Telecommunications S.A.)
RCSandRDS SA (Digi.Mobil)
Telemobil S.A. (Zapp Mobile)
Romtelecom S.A.

Russia
Mobile TeleSystems OJSC (MTS)
Vimpel-Communications (VimpelCom)
MegaFon OJSC (MegaFon)
Tele2
Uralsvyazinform JSC
Sibirtelecom JSC
Nizhegorodskaya Cellular Communications
Smarts (PJSC SMARTS)
New Telephone Company (Novaya Telefonnaya Companiya)
SkyLink
Others

Serbia
Telekom Srbija (MT:S) (Preduze?e za telekomunikacije Telekom Srbija a.d.)
Telenor Serbia (Telenor d.o.o.)
Vip mobile d.o.o.

Slovakia
Orange Slovensko (France Telecom S.A.)
T-Mobile Slovak Republic (Deutsche Telekom AG)
Telefónica O2 Slovakia Limited

Slovenia
Mobitel Slovenia (Mobitel, d.d.)
Si.mobil d.d.
Tušmobil d.o.o.

Tadjikistan
Babilon Mobile (CJSC Babilon-Mobile)
Indigo-Somoncom (CSJC Indigo Tajikistan)
Somoncom
Tacom LLC
TK Mobile
TT Mobile
M.Teko

Turkmenistan
MTS Turkmenistan (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC)
TM Cell (Altyn Asyr MC)

Ukraine
MTS-Ukraine (UMC)
Kyivstar GSM
Astelit LLC (life:))
VimpelCom (Beeline) (URS)
Others

Uzbekistan
MTS-Uzbekistan (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC) (Uzdunrobita)
Ucell (Coscom)
Unitel Uzbekistan (Beeline)
Rubicon Wireless Communications (Perfectum Mobile)
UzMobile

Annual Results and Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2014. Quarterly Results and Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2012*

PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR
DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR
VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH)
MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD)
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD)
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD)

* Note: Not all series are available for every operator in this regional forecast. Please consult individual country forecasts to establish data availability.



Companies Mentioned
Albania
AMC (Albanian Mobile Communications)
Vodafone Albania (Vodafone Plc)
Eagle Mobile

Armenia
K-Telecom CJSC (VivaCell-MTS)
ArmenTel (BeeLine)
Orange Armenia (France Telecom S.A.)

Azerbaijan
Azercell Telecom LLC
Bakcell Ltd.
Azerfon LLC (NAR Mobile)
Catel (Caspian American Telecom LLC)

Belarus
MTS (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC)
Velcom (FE VELCOM)
Life:) Turkcell (BeST - Belarusian Telecommunications Network CJSC)
Diallog (Belcel JV)

Bosnia Herzegovina
BH Telecom d.d Sarajevo (GSM BiH)
M:tel (Telekom Srpske JSC Banjaluka)
Eronet (HT Mostar)

Bulgaria
M-Tel (Mobiltel EAD)
GLOBUL (Cosmo Bulgaria Mobile EAD)
Vivacom (Bulgarian Telecommunications Company)

Croatia
T-Mobile Croatia (Deutsche Telekom AG)
VIPnet d.o.o.
Tele2 Croatia (Tele2 AB)

Czech Republic
Telefónica O2 Czech Republic a.s.
T-Mobile Czech Republic a.s.
Vodafone Czech Republic a.s.
MobilKom, a.s. (U:fon)

Estonia
EMT Estonia (AS EMT)
Elisa Estonia (Elisa Eesti AS)
Tele2 Estonia (Tele2 Eesti AS)
Televõrgu AS

Georgia
MagtiCom Ltd.
Geocell LLC
Mobitel Georgia (BeeLine)
Aquafon
A-Mobile

Hungary
T-Mobile Hungary (Magyar Telekom Nyrt.)
Telenor Hungary Ltd. (Pannon)
Vodafone Hungary (Vodafone Group Plc)

Kazakhstan
Kcell (GSM Kazakhstan OJSC Kazakhtelecom LLP)
Kar-Tel LLP (BeeLine)
Altel (Dalacom)
Mobile Telecom Service LLP (NeoTelecom)

Kyrgyzstan
Sky Mobile LLC (BeeLine) (BITEL)
MegaCom (Alfa Telecom Joint Stock Company)
AkTel (Fonex)
Katel
Nexi
NUR Telecom LLC (O!)

Kosovo
Vala (Post and Telecom of Kosovo)
IPKO Telecommunications LLC

Latvia
LMT (Latvijas Mobilais Telefons)
Tele2 AB
Bite Latvia (BITE Group)
Triatel (AS Telekom Baltija)

Lithuania
Omnitel (TeliaSonera Group)
Tele2 AB
Bite Lithuania (BITE Group)

Macedonia
ONE Stock Company Skopje (Cosmofon)
T-Mobile Macedonia (Deutsche Telekom AG)
Vip operator DOOEL Skopje (Telekom Austria Group)

Moldova
Orange Moldova (France Telecom S.A.)
Moldcell S.A.
InterDnestrCom
Eventis Mobile (License suspended in 2010)

Montenegro
Telenor Montenegro (Telenor ASA)
T-Mobile Montenegro (Deutsche Telekom AG)
MTEL (Društvo za telekomunikacije m:tel d.o.o.)

Poland
PTC (T-Mobile International AG) (Era)
Polkomtel S.A. (Plus)
Orange Polska (PTK Centertel)
Play (Novator)

Romania
Orange Romania (France Telecom S.A.)
Vodafone Romania (Vodafone Group)
Cosmote Romania (Cosmote Mobile Telecommunications S.A.)
RCSandRDS SA (Digi.Mobil)
Telemobil S.A. (Zapp Mobile)
Romtelecom S.A.

Russia
Mobile TeleSystems OJSC (MTS)
Vimpel-Communications (VimpelCom)
MegaFon OJSC (MegaFon)
Tele2
Uralsvyazinform JSC
Sibirtelecom JSC
Nizhegorodskaya Cellular Communications
Smarts (PJSC SMARTS)
New Telephone Company (Novaya Telefonnaya Companiya)
SkyLink
Others

Serbia
Telekom Srbija (MT:S) (Preduze?e za telekomunikacije Telekom Srbija a.d.)
Telenor Serbia (Telenor d.o.o.)
Vip mobile d.o.o.

Slovakia
Orange Slovensko (France Telecom S.A.)
T-Mobile Slovak Republic (Deutsche Telekom AG)
Telefónica O2 Slovakia Limited

Slovenia
Mobitel Slovenia (Mobitel, d.d.)
Si.mobil d.d.
Tušmobil d.o.o.

Tadjikistan
Babilon Mobile (CJSC Babilon-Mobile)
Indigo-Somoncom (CSJC Indigo Tajikistan)
Somoncom
Tacom LLC
TK Mobile
TT Mobile
M.Teko

Turkmenistan
MTS Turkmenistan (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC)
TM Cell (Altyn Asyr MC)

Ukraine
MTS-Ukraine (UMC)
Kyivstar GSM
Astelit LLC (life:))
VimpelCom (Beeline) (URS)
Others

Uzbekistan
MTS-Uzbekistan (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC) (Uzdunrobita)
Ucell (Coscom)
Unitel Uzbekistan (Beeline)
Rubicon Wireless Communications (Perfectum Mobile)
UzMobile

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