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Global Digital PTP Radio Market Analysis & Forecast, 2015-2020, 11th edition

  • February 2016
  • -
  • EJL Wireless Research LLC
  • -
  • 121 pages

This report covers the global market for mmwave Point-to-Point radios (PTP). In depth historical unit shipment data is provided for 2014 with a six-year forecast from 2015-2020 also included. Detailed unit shipment data by OEM is provided for 2014. Low/Medium and High Capacity radios including TDM/optical/ethernet/hybrid solutions covering 5-86GHz.

New product categories in the forecast include:

60GHz 5Gbps, 10Gbps
71-86GHz 5Gbps, 10Gbps

The following is a partial listing of OEMs that are included in this report: Alcatel-Lucent, Aviat Networks, Ceragon Networks, DragonWave, ELVA-1, Ericsson, Huawei, Intracom Telecom, Moseley Associates, NEC, SAF Tehnika, SIAE Microelettronica, Siklu, & ZTE

Features
2014 PTP Shipments by OEM
2014 PTP Shipments by Frequency
2014 PTP Shipments by Geography
2015-2020 PTP Shipment Forecast by Capacity
Total Pages: 121
Total Tables: 67
Total Exhibits: 97

Table Of Contents

Global Digital PTP Radio Market Analysis and Forecast, 2015-2020, 11th edition
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 7
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ... 8
2014 Review - PTP Radio Market unable to leverage Record BTS Deployments in
China for TDD-LTE . 9
PTP Radio Forecast 2015-2020....13
Demand Drivers for the Forecast .15
Potential Downside to the Forecast ..16
Potential Upside to the Forecast ..16
2016 Outlook ...16
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ... 17
CHAPTER 1: OVERALL MARKET PERFORMANCE. 19
1.1 Market not able to Fully Leverage Mobile Demand 19
1.2 Radio Capacity Analysis 21
1.3 OEM Analysis - Ericsson Remains Top Supplier (Barely Again) ...23
1.4 Ethernet vs. Hybrid Technology .25
1.5 Industry Trends ..27
CHAPTER 2: PTP RADIO FORECAST. 30
2.1 PTP Radio Forecast 2015-2020 ..30
Potential Downside to the Forecast ..33
Potential Upside to the Forecast ..33
2.2 PTP Radio Capacity and Technology Forecast ..35
2.3 Trunk Radio Supplementary Forecasts 38
CHAPTER 3: 2-50MB LOW/MEDIUM CAPACITY PTP RADIO SEGMENT . 41
CHAPTER 4: 50-900MB HIGH CAPACITY PTP RADIO SEGMENT 44
4.1 50-900Mb High Capacity Optical PTP Radio Segment 48
4.2 50-900Mb High Capacity Hybrid PTP Radio Segment .52
4.3 50-900Mb High Capacity Ethernet PTP Radio Segment ..55
CHAPTER 5: GB ULTRA HIGH CAPACITY PTP RADIO SEGMENT.. 58
5.1 1Gb Radios .58
5.2 2.5Gb Radios ..62
CHAPTER 6: 60-86GHZ RADIOS ... 65
6.1 2014 60-86GHz Market Share ...67
6.2 60-86GHz PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 ..68
6.2.1 60GHz Forecast by Frequency, 2015-2020 ...69
6.2.2 71-86GHz Forecast by Frequency, 2015-2020...71
CHAPTER 7: HIGH CAPACITY TRUNK TECHNOLOGY 73
7.1 Single Channel vs. Multi-Channel Trunk Radios 76
7.2 Trunk Radios by Transport Technology ...77
7.3 Protected vs. Non-Protected Trunk Radios ...78
CHAPTER 8: GEOGRAPHICAL MARKET ANALYSIS .. 79
8.1 Geographical Forecast ..82
8.2 North America and Latin America ..83
8.3 Western Europe and Eastern Europe..86
8.4 Africa and Middle East .88
8.5 Asia Pacific .90
8.6 Brazil/Russia/India/Indonesia/China (BRIIC) Analysis ...95
8.7 BRIIC + Middle East + Africa.97
CHAPTER 9: CHINESE RADIO VENDORS 98
9.1 50-900Mb High Capacity Segment .99
9.2 60-86GHz Radio Segment... 100
CHAPTER 10: PTP RADIO FREQUENCY BAND ANALYSIS 101
10.1 15GHz Band Regain Top Spot 101
CHAPTER 11: APPLICATION MARKET ANALYSIS . 103
11.1 2015-2020 Forecast. 104
11.2 New Site vs. Capacity Upgrade Analysis .. 105
11.3 Mobile Networks .. 107
11.4 Enterprise/Private Networks .. 109
11.5 Broadband Wireless Access Networks . 110
11.6 PTT/Fixed Wireline Networks . 111
11.7 LEC/CLEC Networks . 112
11.8 Small Cell Backhaul.. 113
11.9 Front Haul CPRI... 114
CHAPTER 12: TAIL NODES VS. AGGREGATION NODES . 115
CHAPTER 13: ETSI VS. ANSI MARKET ANALYSIS.. 117
13.1 ETSI Market Analysis 117
13.2 ANSI Market Analysis ... 119

TABLES
Table 1: Global PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 10
Table 2: Global PTP Radio Market Share by Capacity and Technology, 2013-2014 (Units) 12
Table 3: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Capacity and Technology, 2014-2019 (Units) ... 14
Table 4: Comparison of 2014 Global PTP Radio Forecast by Capacity and Technology vs. Actual Shipments 20
Table 5: Global PTP Radio Market Share by Capacity and Technology, 2013-2014 (Units) 22
Table 6: Global PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 24
Table 7: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Capacity and Technology, 2015-2020 (Units) ... 36
Table 8: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Capacity and Technology, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) 37
Table 9: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Capacity and Technology, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth) .. 38
Table 10: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Channelization, 2015-2020 (Units).. 38
Table 11: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Channelization, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) .. 38
Table 12: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Channelization, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth). 39
Table 13: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Protection Scheme, 2015-2020 (Units) 39
Table 14: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Protection Scheme, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) 39
Table 15: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Protection Scheme, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth) ... 39
Table 16: Global 2-50Mb Low/Medium Capacity PTP Radio Shipments by Transport Technology, 2013-2014
(Units) 42
Table 17: Global 2-50Mb Low/Medium Capacity PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) . 43
Table 18: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity PTP Radio Shipments by Transport Technology, 2013-2014
(Units) 45
Table 19: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) . 46
Table 20: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Optical PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units).. 49
Table 21: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Optical PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 50
Table 22: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Hybrid PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units)... 53
Table 23: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Ethernet PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) 57
Table 24: Global 1Gb Ultra High Capacity PTP Radio Shipments by Transport Technology, 2013-2014
(Units) 59
Table 25: Global 1Gb Ultra High Capacity PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units).. 60
Table 26: Global 1Gb Ultra High Capacity 60-80GHz Ethernet PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014
(Units) 61
Table 27: Global 2Gb Ultra High Capacity 60-80GHz Ethernet PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014
(Units) 64
Table 28: Global 60-86GHz PTP Radio Market Share, 2013-2014 (Units) . 67
Table 29: Global 60GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (Units) . 69
Table 30: Global 60GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) . 69
Table 31: Global 60GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth) 69
Table 32: Global 71-86GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (Units) 71
Table 33: Global 71-86GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) 71
Table 34: Global 71-86GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth) ... 71
Table 35: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) ... 74
Table 36: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Shipments by Channel Configuration, 2013-2014 (Units)
. 76
Table 37: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Shipments by Transport Technology, 2013-2014 (Units)
. 77
Table 38: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Shipments by Protection Technology, 2013-2014 (Units)
. 78
Table 39: Comparison of Global PTP Radio Forecast by Geographic Region vs. Actual Shipments, 2014 .. 79
Table 40: Comparison of Global PTP Radio Forecast by Country vs. Actual Shipments, 2014.. 79
Table 41: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Geographical Region, 2013-2014 (Units).. 80
Table 42: EMEA PTP Radio Shipments by Geographical Region, 2013-2014 (Units)... 81
Table 43: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Geography, 2015-2020 (Units) .. 82
Table 44: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Geography, 2015-2020 (% Market Share)... 82
Table 45: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Geography, 2015-2020 (%YoY Growth) .. 82
Table 46: Brazil PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units). 85
Table 47: Russia PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) ... 87
Table 48: China, India, and Indonesia PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units).. 90
Table 49: BRIIC PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) 95
Table 50: BRIIC PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) ... 96
Table 51: BRIIC PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) 96
Table 52: BRIIC PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth) .. 96
Table 53: BRIICMEA PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 97
Table 54: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Frequency, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 101
Table 55: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Frequency, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 101
Table 56: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Applications, 2013-2014 (Units) 103
Table 57: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Application, 2015-2020 (Units) 105
Table 58: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Application, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) 105
Table 59: Global PTP Radio Forecast by Application, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth) ... 105
Table 60: Global PTP Radio Forecast New Sites vs. Capacity Upgrades, 2015-2020 (Units).. 105
Table 61: Global PTP Radio Forecast New Sites vs. Capacity Upgrades, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) .. 105
Table 62: Global PTP Radio Forecast New Sites vs. Capacity Upgrades, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth). 105
Table 63: Global PTP Radio Shipments, Tail Nodes vs. Aggregation Nodes, 2015-2020 (Units). 116
Table 64: Global PTP Radio Shipments, Tail Nodes vs. Aggregation Nodes, 2015-2020 (% Market Share)
... 116
Table 65: Global PTP Radio Shipments, Tail Nodes vs. Aggregation Nodes, 2015-2020 (%YoY Growth). 116
Table 66: ETSI PTP Radio Shipments by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) 118
Table 67: ANSI PTP Radio Shipments by OEM, 2013-2014 (Units) 119

EXHIBITS
Exhibit 1: Global PTP Radio Shipments, 1997-2014 (Units) ... 10
Exhibit 2: Global PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (% YoY Growth) . 13
Exhibit 3: PTP Radio Product Universe 18
Exhibit 4: Comparison of 2014 Global PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual Shipments (Units) 19
Exhibit 5: Global PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) ... 20
Exhibit 6: Global PTP Radio Market Share by Capacity and Technology, 2014 (Units) ... 21
Exhibit 7: Global PTP Radio Market Share, 2014 (Units) 24
Exhibit 8: Global PTP Radio Market Share by Transport Technology, 2014 (Units) 25
Exhibit 9: Global PTP Radio Market Share by Transport Technology, 2007-2014 (% Market Share) 26
Exhibit 10: Planned Spectrum for mmwave Radios ... 29
Exhibit 11: Global PTP Radio Forecast 2014-2020, (% YoY Growth) 30
Exhibit 12: Global PTP Radio Forecast, Prior vs. Current, 2015-2020 (Units) 34
Exhibit 13: Radio Capacity Shipment Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) . 35
Exhibit 14: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Channelization, 2015-2020 (Units) 39
Exhibit 15: Global Indoor Trunk PTP Radio Forecast by Protection Scheme, 2015-2020 (Units) .. 40
Exhibit 16: Comparison of 2014 Global 2-50Mb Low/Medium Capacity PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual
Shipments (Units) 41
Exhibit 17: Global 2-50Mb Low/Medium Capacity PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 42
Exhibit 18: Global 2-50Mb Low/Medium Capacity PTP Radio Shipments by Transport Technology, 2014
(Units) 42
Exhibit 19: Global 2-50Mb Low/Medium Capacity PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014 (Units) ... 43
Exhibit 20: Comparison of 2014 Global 50-900Mb High Capacity PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual Shipments
(Units) 44
Exhibit 21: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) .. 45
Exhibit 22: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity PTP Radio Shipments, 2014 (Units)... 46
Exhibit 23: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014 (Units) ... 47
Exhibit 24: Comparison of 2014 Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Optical PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual
Shipments (Units) 48
Exhibit 25: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Optical PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) 49
Exhibit 26: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Optical PTP Radio Shipments, 2014 (Units) 50
Exhibit 27: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Optical PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014 (Units) 51
Exhibit 28: Comparison of 2014 Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Hybrid PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual
Shipments (Units) 52
Exhibit 29: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Hybrid PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) 53
Exhibit 30: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Hybrid PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014 (Units) . 54
Exhibit 31: Comparison of 2014 Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Ethernet PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual
Shipments (Units) 55
Exhibit 32: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Ethernet PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) . 56
Exhibit 33: Global 50-900Mb High Capacity Ethernet PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014 (Units) .. 57
Exhibit 34: Comparison of 2014 Global 1Gb Ultra High Capacity PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual Shipments
(Units) 58
Exhibit 35: Global 1Gb Ultra High Capacity PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) ... 59
Exhibit 36: Global 1Gb Ultra High Capacity PTP Radio Shipments by Transport Technology, 2014 (Units) 60
Exhibit 37: Global 1Gb High Capacity PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014 (Units) 61
Exhibit 38: Global 1Gb Ultra High Capacity 60-80GHz Ethernet PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014
(Units) 62
Exhibit 39: Comparison of 2014 Global 2Gb Ultra High Capacity PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual Shipments
(Units) 63
Exhibit 40: Global 2Gb Ultra High Capacity PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) ... 63
Exhibit 41: Global 2Gb Ultra High Capacity 60-80GHz Ethernet PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014
(Units) 64
Exhibit 42: Comparison of 2014 Global 60-86GHz PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual Shipments (Units) ... 65
Exhibit 43: Global 60-86GHz PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units)... 66
Exhibit 44: Global 60-86GHz PTP Radio Shipments by Frequency, 2014 (Units) ... 66
Exhibit 45: Global 60-86GHz PTP Radio Market Share, 2014 (Units) ... 67
Exhibit 46: Global 60-86GHz PTP Radio Shipments by Geographical Region, 2014 (Units) . 68
Exhibit 47: Global 60GHz PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units)... 70
Exhibit 48: Global 60GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (Units) ... 70
Exhibit 49: Global 71-86GHz PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units).. 72
Exhibit 50: Global 71-86GHz PTP Radio Forecast by Transport Capacity, 2015-2020 (Units) .. 72
Exhibit 51: Comparison of 2014 High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Forecast vs. Actual Shipments (Units) ... 73
Exhibit 52: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Shipments, 2013-2014 (Units) 74
Exhibit 53: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Market Share by OEM, 2014 (Units) . 75
Exhibit 54: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Shipments by Channel Configuration, 2014 (Units) 76
Exhibit 55: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Shipments by Transport Technology, 2014 (Units) . 77
Exhibit 56: Global High Capacity Trunk PTP Radio Shipments by Protection Technology, 2014 (Units). 78
Exhibit 57: Global PTP Radio Market Share by Geographical Region, 2014 (Units) 80
Exhibit 58: EMEA PTP Radio Shipments by Geographical Region, 2014 (Units) . 81
Exhibit 59: North America PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) . 83
Exhibit 60: Latin America PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) .. 84
Exhibit 61: Brazil vs. ROLA PTP Radio Shipments, 2014 (Units) . 85
Exhibit 62: Western/Eastern Europe PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) ... 86
Exhibit 63: Russia vs. ROE PTP Radio Shipments, 2014 (Units) .. 87
Exhibit 64: Africa PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units).. 88
Exhibit 65: Middle East PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units).. 89
Exhibit 66: Asia Pacific PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) .. 90
Exhibit 67: China/India/Indonesia PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) .. 91
Exhibit 68: China vs. India vs. Indonesia vs. ROAP PTP Radio Shipments, 2014 (Units) 91
Exhibit 69: China PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units).. 92
Exhibit 70: India PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) .. 93
Exhibit 71: Indonesia PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) 94
Exhibit 72: BRIIC PTP Radio Shipments, 2014 (Units)... 95
Exhibit 73: BRIIC PTP Radio Forecast, 2015-2020 (Units) . 96
Exhibit 74: BRIICMEA PTP Radio Shipments, 2014 (Units). 97
Exhibit 75: Chinese Global PTP Radio Market Share, 2014 (Units) .. 98
Exhibit 76: Chinese Global PTP Radio Market Share by Vendor, 2014 (Units) ... 98
Exhibit 77: Chinese Global High Capacity 50-900Mb PTP Radio Market Share, 2014 (Units)... 99
Exhibit 78: Chinese Global 60-86GHz PTP Radio Market Share, 2014 (Units) . 100
Exhibit 79: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Frequency, 2014 (Units) 102
Exhibit 80: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Frequency, 2013-2014 (Units) 102
Exhibit 81: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Applications, 2013-2014 (Units).. 103
Exhibit 82: Global PTP Radio Shipments by Applications, 2014 (Units) .. 104
Exhibit 83: Global PTP Radio Forecast New Sites vs. Capacity Upgrades, 2015-2020 (Units) 106
Exhibit 84: Global PTP Radio Forecast New Sites vs. Capacity Upgrades, 2015-2020 (% Market Share) 106
Exhibit 85: Historical Mobile Infrastructure Demand, 2001-2014 (% Market Share) 107
Exhibit 86: Global PTP Radio Forecast for Mobile Networks, 2015-2020, (Units) . 108
Exhibit 87: Global PTP Radio Forecast for Enterprise/Private Networks, 2015-2020, (Units). 109
Exhibit 88: Global PTP Radio Forecast for Broadband Wireless Access Networks, 2015-2020, (Units) 110
Exhibit 89: Global PTP Radio Forecast for Fixed Wireline Networks, 2015-2020, (Units) .. 111
Exhibit 90: Global PTP Radio Forecast for LEC/CLEC Networks, 2015-2020, (Units) 112
Exhibit 91: Global PTP Radio Forecast for Small Cell Backhaul, 2015-2020, (Units) 113
Exhibit 92: Global PTP Radio Forecast for Front Haul CPRI, 2015-2020, (Units).. 114
Exhibit 93: Global PTP Radio Shipments, Tail Nodes vs. Aggregation Nodes, 2014.. 115
Exhibit 94: Global PTP Radio Shipments, Tail Nodes vs. Aggregation Nodes, 2015-2020 (Units)... 116
Exhibit 95: Global PTP Radio Shipments ETSI vs. ANSI, 2014 (Units) ... 117
Exhibit 96: ETSI PTP Radio Shipments by OEM, 2014 (Units)... 118
Exhibit 97: ANSI PTP Radio Shipments by OEM, 2014 (Units) .. 119

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