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Peru Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 48 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
We expect the Peruvian construction industry to recover in 2016, following a severe contraction in 2016 as a number of key transport and energy projects move forward. Over the longer term, a robust project pipeline, high infrastructure demand and strong political support for infrastructure development will maintain construction growth.

Latest Updates
- We expect a rebound in Peru's construction industry in 2016. The advancement of high value projects in the transport and energy and utilities sectors, coupled with low base effects, will see the total construction
value expand 4.8% in real terms.
- The steep contraction in 2015, -6.5% y-o-y, was caused by prolonged delays on a number of key projects. We continue to highlight the risks of project delays, especially with the relatively new use of PPPs in the
market.
- Overall, government sponsored infrastructure projects will now be the major driver of growth, as capital expenditure into the mining sector continues to decline. Public support will remain strong under the remaining months of the Humala administration, and will remain so under the government of opposition candidate Fujimori, who we expect to win the April 2016 elections.
- A large infrastructure deficit, robust project pipeline and strong government support will sustain growth throughout our forecast period, where we see growth averaging 3.0% from 2016 to 2025.

Table Of Contents

Peru Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Peru 2015-2021) . 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Peru 2016) . . 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT .. 7
Industry Forecast 8
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2015-2024) 8
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview .. 13
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025) . 14
Table: Peru: Key Transport Projects . 17
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 18
Latest Updates ... 18
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Peru 2016-2025) . . 18
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities . 24
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview .. 25
Latest Updates ... 25
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025) 25
Structural Trends ... 25
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 28
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 29
Peru - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index .. 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 31
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index . . 36
Market Overview ... 37
Competitive Landscape . 37
Methodology .. 41
Industry Forecast Methodology 41
Sector-Specific Methodology 42
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 46
Sector-Specific Methodology 47
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 47
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 48

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