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Vietnam Retail Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 53 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
In the long term, the outlook is good for Vietnam's retail sector. Modern retail has made significant inroads into the largest cities, and as incomes rise and infrastructure improves, more people should be able to access modern retail opportunities. The government is welcoming of foreign investment into the retail industry, and those firms already in the market stand to benefit as mergers and acquisitions become more commonplace. However, the population is still largely rural, with little appetite for significant retail spending, and incomes are generally low, meaning that opportunities for retailers in non-essential segments are limited.

We forecast strong economic growth, with real GDP growth estimated at 6.4% in 2015, rising to 6.6% in 2016 before falling back slightly over our forecast period, to reach 6.2% in 2020. Increasingly strong trade
links, such as the ASEAN Economic Community and the Trans-Pacific Partnership, should provide growth opportunities in coming years, and make the business environment more supportive of foreign investment.
The country has seen a significant amount of foreign direct investment (FDI) from international retailers as demand for Western-style retail experiences has increased. Mass grocery retailer (MGR) has been an
attractive segment of international expansion.

Table Of Contents

Vietnam Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Headline Retail Forecast .. 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 14
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) . 16
Retail Sector Forecast .. 18
Food, Drink And Tobacco 18
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) . 19
Clothing And Footwear ... 20
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 20
Household Goods ... 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) 21
Personal Care ... 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Vietnam 2013-2020) . 22
Demographic Forecast . 23
Table: Total Population (Vietnam 2013-2020) 24
Table: Population: Babies (Vietnam 2013-2020) 24
Table: Population: Young Children (Vietnam 2013-2020) 25
Table: Population: Children (Vietnam 2013-2020) . 25
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 25
Table: Population: Young People (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 26
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 26
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 26
Table: Population: Young Adults (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . 27
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Vietnam 2013-2020) 27
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Vietnam 2013-2020) 27
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 28
Asia Risk/Reward Index 28
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 28
Vietnam - Risk/Reward Index . 29
Rewards ... 29
Risks 30
Market Overview ... 32
Competitive Landscape 34
Clothing And Footwear ... 34
Table: Major Clothing And Footwear Retailers . . 34
Department Stores .. 35
Table: Major Department Stores . . 35
Household Goods And Homeware . 36
Table: Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers . . 36
Electronics ... 37
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 37
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces .. 38
Table: E-commerce Retailers and Online Marketplaces . . 38
Drugstores And Pharmacies . 39
Table: Drugstores And Pharmacies . . 39
Glossary . 40
Methodology .. 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 50
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 53

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