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Canada Retail Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite further reductions in the price for oil, and its negative impact on Canada's exportmarket, we expect to see Canada post real GDP growth of 1.8% in 2016. Household incomes are forecast tocontinue growing, with further improvements in employment rates and increasing wages. The Bank ofCanada is likely to maintain the overnight rate of interest at 0.5% for the remainder of 2016, with inflationremaining comfortably within its target range. As a result, we expect Canada's dynamic retail sector todeliver positive expansion over the course of the year.

Key Views & Developments

-We expect total household spending to amount toUSD844bn in 2016, down by 1.2%, mostly due toappreciated US dollar. In Canadian dollar terms, we expect a rise of 4.2% this year.
-Essential spending will continue to account for the majority of household spending, with the largestsector represented by housing and utilities at 24.7% in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Canada Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Canada 2013-2020) 12
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Canada 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 17
Food, Drink And Tobacco 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 20
Clothing And Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods Spending 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 23
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 24
Table: Toys, Sports, Gardens and Pets Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 25
Personal Care Spending 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (Canada 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (Canada 2013-2020) 29
Table: Labour Market Data (Canada 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast 33
Table: Total Population (Canada 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Babies (Canada 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Children (Canada 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (Canada 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Canada 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young People (Canada 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Canada 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Canada 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Young Adults (Canada 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Canada 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Urban (Canada 2013-2020) 38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 39
Developed States Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 39
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
Market Overview 43
Competitive Landscape 51
Clothing and Footwear 51
Table: Major Clothing and Footwear Retailers 51
Household Goods 52
Table: Major Household goods/ Homeware/ Home Improvement Retailers 52
Electronics 53
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 53
Department Stores 54
Table: Major Department Stores 54
E-commerce 55
Table: Major E-commerce Retailers/Online Marketplaces 55
Pharmacies 55
Table: Drug Stores/Pharmacies 55
Glossary 56
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sources 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

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