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Central America Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We forecast an average of 21% real growth for the six construction industries of CentralAmerica in 2016 The decline from our forecast for 2015 - 44% - is mainly due to a steep drop-off inPanama as it concludes expansion of the Panama Canal and a normalisation of a housing boom inNicaragua The region will still offer significant opportunities: the transport sector will see strong growthas development funds target regional integration and Panama will recover by 2018 as increased publicspending funds a strong project pipeline

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- El Salvador's construction industry is poised to benefit from an influx of capital from regionaldevelopment banks and a US aid agency We have downgraded our forecast for 2015 to a still positive,but muted 13% However, we expect development agency backed projects to pick up steam in 2016 andforecast the construction industry to grow at 46% annually from 2016 to 2019

- Honduras is also gaining support from development banks and is set to end its construction industryrecession in 2016 Although projects in the country have suffered from delays in the past, our optimismfor the industry is supported by a number of high-value projects which have already reached financialclose and are set to break ground early in 2016

Table Of Contents

Central America Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Central America Construction Industry Real Growth 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Panama - Infrastructure Spending To Continue Post Canal Expansion 9
Table: Panama 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 9
El Salvador - Development Funding Poised To Boost Industry 15
Table: El Salvador 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 15
Nicaragua - Boom To Slow In Coming Quarters 20
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Nicaragua 2014-2024) 20
Guatemala - Corruption Continues To Beset Sector 25
Table: Guatemala 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 25
Honduras - Construction Industry Set To Recover In 2016 28
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Honduras 2014-2024) 28
Costa Rica - Delays And Muted Investment Drag On Construction 32
Table: Costa Rica 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 32
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 36
Table: Central America Risk Reward Index 41
Latin America - LatAm Infrastructure RRI: Ambitious Plans Will See Limited Realisation 42
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 47
Market Overview 48
Competitive Landscape 48
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sector-Specific Methodology 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

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