1. Market Research
  2. > Energy & Environment
  3. > Energy
  4. > Oil and Gas Energy Market Trends
  5. > Norway Country Risk Report Q2 2016

Norway Country Risk Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 25 pages

Core Views

A sharp slowdown in hydrocarbons sector investment amid a collapsein global oil prices will weigh on Norwegian GDP growth between2016-18.The Norwegian government will continue to expand fiscal policy inorder to stimulate demand in the short run and to lay the structuralfoundations for stronger non-hydrocarbons growth over the longerrun.The residential housing market has been a major contributor tooverall real GDP growth for most of the past decade, but is set tocool over the next few years.We envisage broad political continuity to the next election in 2017,with the Conservative-Progress minority coalition government achievingmodest progress on its reform agenda.

Table Of Contents

Norway Country Risk Report Q2 2016
Executive Summary 5
Core Views5
Key Risks5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook 7
SWOT Analysis 7
BMI Economic Risk Index 7
Economic Growth Outlook 8
Cautiously Optimistic On Near-Term Growth8
Norwegian real GDP growth will slow significantly in 2016, to 12% from 17% in 2015 However, the economy should be able to avoid a
significant contraction due to several factors including an expected rebound in oil prices by the end of 2016
GDP By Expenditure Outlook 10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS 10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS 10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS 10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS 11
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS 11
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS 11
Currency Forecast 12
NOK: Appreciation Alongside Oil Rebound12
The Norwegian krone is finally bottoming out versus the euro after two years of heavy losses We expect modest appreciation over the
next two years as oil prices rebound and the central bank ends its easing cycle
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST 12
Monetary Policy Framework 13
Chapter 3: Political Outlook 15
SWOT Analysis 15
BMI Political Risk Index 15
Domestic Politics 16
Migration Policy Poses Only Moderate Risks To Political Stability16
We do not expect the large influx of migrants into Norway to generate the same degree of political instability seen elsewhere in Europe,
most notably in neighbouring Sweden The anti-immigration Progress Party will continue to cooperate with the Conservative Party in
government, with official immigration policy becoming increasingly stringent
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW 16
Chapter 4: Operational Risk 19
SWOT Analysis 19
Operational Risk Index 19
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook 21
Global Macro Outlook 21
Downside Risks Gather Momentum21
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS 21
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, % 22
TABLE: BMI VERSUS BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS, % 22
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, % 23
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA and FORECASTS 25

View This Report »

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 24 Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 10,000 trusted sources
24/7 Customer Support

Talk to Veronica

+1 718 514 2762

Purchase Reports From Reputable Market Research Publishers
Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market by Type, Application, Supply Mode - Global Forecast to 2021

Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market by Type, Application, Supply Mode - Global Forecast to 2021

  • $ 12000
  • Industry report
  • September 2016
  • by MarketsandMarkets

“Rise in crude oil production worldwide drives the COFI market” The global market size of COFI is estimated to reach USD 1.73 billion by 2021 from 1.32 billion in 2016, at a CAGR of 5.5%. Excessive ...

Filter Bags Market - Global Industry, Size, Share, Growth, Trends and Forecast 2016 - 2024

Filter Bags Market - Global Industry, Size, Share, Growth, Trends and Forecast 2016 - 2024

  • $ 7000
  • Industry report
  • September 2016
  • by Transparency Market Research

The filter bags market report provides an in-depth analysis of the global filter bag market for the period 2014 – 2024, wherein 2015 is the base year and the years from 2016 to 2024 is the forecast period. ...


ref:plp2016

Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2016. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.