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Australia Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 56 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Over the short term, we do not expect to see overly impressive y-o-y gains across the freightmodes in Australia, but growth will remain in the positive over the medium-term forecast period. Theoutperforming mode will be rail freight, which is set to register annual growth of 4.9% in 2016, while airfreight will trail in third place out of three with y-o-y growth of just 0.7%. Sandwiched in between will beroad freight, which is poised to see y-o-y growth of 3.1%. We expect Australia's liquefied natural gas (LNG)and agricultural exports to grow strongly over the coming years, but they are unlikely to offset thesignificant drag from declining export earnings from the iron ore and coal markets.

Latest Updates And Forecasts

- Australia's exports and imports are projected to grow by 3.0% in 2016, but there will be a mixed bagwhen taken individually, with the former set to increase by 6.0% y-o-y, while imports will see a slightcontraction of 0.5%.

- Over the medium term forecast period, road freight will overtake rail as the outperforming mode in termsof tonnage throughput, averaging 3.1% y-o-y growth between 2016 and 2020.

- Australia will remain a key agricultural powerhouse due to several factors. Firstly, there is a large andincreasing surplus of commodities such as grains, beef, dairy and sugar, which are in high demand,boosting air freight volumes. Secondly, Steady (Developed Asia) or growing (Emerging Asia, MiddleEast) import demand for bulk commodities will also help Australian exports grow. Lastly, Australia hassigned a number of Free Trade Agreements with key agricultural importers (Japan, South Korea andChina) over recent years.

- Road freight is once more set to remain the most dominant freight mode in Australia for the foreseeablefuture, accounting for almost 70% of total freight transport handled in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Australia Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (Australia 2013-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Trade Forecast 9
Table: Trade Overview (Australia 2013-2020) 12
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Australia 2013-2020) 12
Table: Main Import Partners (2006-2013) 13
Table: Main Export Partners (2006-2013) 14
Road Freight Forecast 15
Table: Road Freight (Australia 2013-2020) 18
Rail Freight Forecast 19
Table: Rail Freight (Australia 2013-2020) 21
Air Freight Forecast 22
Table: Air Freight (Australia 2013-2020) 24
Shipping Forecast 25
Table: Major Ports Data (Australia 2013-2020) 27
Market Overview 29
Company Profile 31
Aurizon (formerly QR National) 31
Pacific National 35
Qantas Freight 39
Toll Group 44
Demographic Forecast 48
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025) 49
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025) 49
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025) 50
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025) 50
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025) 51
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sector-Specific Methodology 54
Sources 56

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