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Hong Kong Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 42 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Hong Kong's trade outlook remains poor over the near-future, as its close trade links with themainland will undermine the potential for a recovery in 2016, and this will weigh on the freight transportsector to a significant degree. Meanwhile, the global trade outlook is scarcely better for the upcoming year,with middling growth outlooks in the US, EU, and Japan, among others.Latest

Updates And Forecasts

- While we do believe that the years of declines in road freight cargo volumes in Hong Kong are over,forecasting a second consecutive year of growth in 2016, we are nevertheless fairly bearish towards thesector. We expect that a poor outlook for trade generally will keep growth sedate, despite ongoinginvestment in the roads and bridges.

- Hong Kong International Airport will continue to defy the trade slowdown and boost record-breakingthroughput figures, ably supported by Cathay Pacific Cargo, the largest air freight handler in Asia. Weforecast an expansion of 4.2% in 2016, and an average annual growth rate of 4.1% to 2020.

- The Port of Hong Kong will struggle to maintain positive growth over the coming years in the face ofboth a slowing Chinese economy and the growing challenge of mainland ports to its position - thepotential for a change in cabotage laws would be a particular blow for the facility.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Trade Forecast 9
Table: Trade Overview (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 12
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 12
Table: Main Import Partners 13
Table: Main Export Partners 14
Road Freight Forecast 15
Table: Road Freight (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 17
Air Freight Forecast 18
Table: Air Freight (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 20
Shipping Forecast 21
Table: Inland Waterway Freight (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 22
Table: Major Ports Data (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 25
Market Overview 26
Company Profile 29
Cathay Pacific Cargo 29
Demographic Forecast 34
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 35
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 35
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 36
Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 36
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 37
Methodology 39
Industry Forecast Methodology 39
Sector-Specific Methodology 40
Sources 42

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