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Tin Metals Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 44 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016, leading us to trim our price forecast toUSD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustainedmarket deficits and inventories dwindle.

Latest Developments And Structural TrendsPrice Forecast

- We now forecast tin prices to average USD14,500/tonne in 2016 and USD15,750/tonne in 2017,compared to USD15,000/tonne and USD16,500/tonne previously. Although we maintain our view that tinprices will bottom in 2016, downward pressure will be more severe than we previously expected in H116and the rebound more gradual. Persistent global deficits will underpin prices in the coming years anddrive a modest price recovery from 2017. Our new price forecasts place us below both BloombergConsensus estimates and the LME futures curve out to 2019.

Table Of Contents

Tin Metals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Global - Tin Supply, Demand and Price Forecasts 5
Price Forecast 7
Commodities Forecast 7
Table: BMI Tin Price Forecast 7
Table: Tin Forecasts 11
Global Trends In Supply, Demand And Trade 12
Industry Trend Analysis 12
Table: Global Tin Forecasts 13
Table: Tin Production Forecasts 16
Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts 17
Mine Supply: Tin Ore 21
Global Industry Overview - Tin: Slowing Growth To Continue 21
Table: Global Selected Tin Projects 26
Competitive Landscape 29
Table: Global - Top 10 Tin Producers By 2014 Output 29
Table: Selected Tin Companies, 2014 30
Company Profile 32
Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad 32
Table: MSC - Key Financial Data 35
Minsur 36
Table: Minsur - Latest Annual Financial Results 37
PT Timah 38
Table: PT Timah - Key Financial Data 40
Yunnan Tin 41
Table: Yunnan Tin - Latest Annual Financial Data 42
Data Appendix 43
Tin: Production Balance 43
Table: Global Tin Forecasts 43
Production Forecast 44
Table: Tin Production Forecasts 44
Consumption Forecast 44
Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts 44

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