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Lebanon Autos Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 30 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The combination of a weak economy and a turbulent political environment will lead to anotherchallenging year for the Lebanese new vehicle sales market in 2016, although consumer demand shouldremain resilient. We expect 3.9% sales growth for the sector as a whole, with passenger car sales set tooutperform commercial vehicle sales.

Key Views

- We expect new vehicle sales to grow 22% over 2016-2020, supported by recovering economic growth,rising incomes and favourable demographics.
- We expect stronger sales growth from commercial vehicle (27.3%) than passenger car (21.8%).

- Passenger car will continue to account for the majority (94%) of total new vehicles sold.

- Uncertain domestic and regional security conditions continue to pose a downside risk.

- Kia (-17%) and Hyundai (-39%) both saw sharp falls in their Lebanese sales, as Japanese manufacturersbenefited from a weaker yen and the launch of new model ranges.

- Korean manufacturers' sales fell (Kia 17% and Hyundai 39%), while Japanese manufacturers grew verywell (Toyota 31%, Mitsubishi 71% and Suzuki 105%).

Table Of Contents

Lebanon Autos Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Lebanon 2014-2020) 9
Latest Developments 9
Table: Latest Developments 9
Structural Trends 9
Passenger Cars 12
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Lebanon 2014-2020) 12
Latest Developments 12
Table: Latest Developments 12
Key Players 13
Table: Lebanon - Top 10 Best-Selling Manufacturers, 2015 13
Commercial Vehicles 13
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Lebanon 2014-2020) 13
Latest Developments 13
Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
GCC Stability Offsets Sales Downgrades 15
Long-Term Potential Comes With Risk 16
Iran The Most Attractive Outlier 16
Company Profile 18
Bassoul Heneine (Renault) 18
Regional Overview 19
Table: Middle East And North African Autos Production Investments 19
Iran Already Drawing A Crowd 20
But Iranian Brands Look Elsewhere 20
North African Hub Expanding 21
Demographic Forecast 22
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Lebanon 1990-2025) 23
Table: Key Population Ratios (Lebanon 1990-2025) 23
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Lebanon 1990-2025) 24
Table: Population By Age Group (Lebanon 1990-2025) 24
Table: Population By Age Group % (Lebanon 1990-2025) 25
Methodology 27
Industry Forecasts 27
Sector-Specific Methodology 28
Sources 28
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 29
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 30

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