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  4. > Malawi and Mozambique Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

Malawi and Mozambique Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Based on data published by some of the operators for Q3 2015, we estimate that Malawi had 6.2mnmobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by 12.6% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobilepenetration rate of almost 38%. In the five years to 2020, we now predict that Malawi's mobile marketwill grow to surpass 9.7mn mobile customers. 3G subscriptions are expected to grow from 19.8% ofmobile subscriptions in 2015 to over 31% of the total market in 2020.

- We estimate that Mozambique had 16.4mn mobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by8.3% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobile penetration rate of 58.5%. We expect there to be almost 21mnmobile subscriptions and a penetration rate of 65.6% in Mozambique by 2020. We estimate that 3Gsubscriptions accounted for 10.5% of Mozambican mobile subscribers in 2015 and expect 3Gsubscribers to rise to over 19% of total subscriptions by 2020.

- By 2020, we forecast Malawi's internet penetration to reach 15%. However, the country's broadbandpenetration rate will remain underwhelming at just 0.7%. Although internet penetration inMozambique is expected to reach 27% by 2020, broadband penetration will reach only 1%.

Table Of Contents

Malawi and Mozambique Telecommunications Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 8
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Malawi 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Malawi 2013-2020) 15
Mozambique 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 20
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Regional RRI Comparison, Q216 21
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index, Q2 2016 22
Malawi Risk Reward Index 24
Mozambique Risk Reward Index 25
Market Overview 27
Malawi 27
Market Tends and Developments 27
Mobile 28
Wireline Voice and Broadband 33
Pay-TV/Convergence 34
Mozambique 35
Market Drivers and Trends 35
Mobile 36
Networks 40
Wireline Voice and Broadband 41
Table: Fixed Voice Market 41
Regulatory Development 42
Competitive Landscape 44
Table: Key Players 44
Table: mCel Mozambique 44
Table: Vodacom Mozambique 45
Table: Airtel Malawi 45
Table: TNM 46
Company Profile 47
Airtel Africa 47
mcel Mozambique 52
Demographic Forecast 55
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malawi 1990-2025) 56
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malawi 1990-2025) 56
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Malawi 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group (Malawi 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malawi 1990-2025) 58
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) 63
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Terms 65
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Sources 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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