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Sweden Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: This quarter our fundamental assumptions for Sweden continue to be relevant. Taking intoaccount relatively positive macroeconomic expectations for the Nordic region as well as sector trends, wecontinue to expect power consumption growth in 2016. Similarly, we maintain our long-held view that,while growth expectations in the region are improving, economic woes in the eurozone remain a major riskfactor for the consumption and generation outlook of the country, as more regional instability couldundermine their economic activity.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- In Sweden, where nuclear and hydropower dominate electricity supply, the energy outlook for themedium- and long term looks less promising. The Social Democrats' and greens' minority government inpower since September 2014 have announced their intention to phase out nuclear power and replace itwith renewables. It should be noted, however, a change to Sweden's long-term energy strategy is likely torequire support from the conservative opposition, thus introducing uncertainty. The deterioration of theoperating environment for nuclear power in Sweden will prompt generators, such as E.ON andVattenfall, to phase down their output, as low electricity prices coupled with new nuclear taxation rulescurb profit potential for power generators. Other domestic sources of electricity, such as hydropower,combined with an increase in electricity imports from Norway will therefore have to pick up slack in thepower mix over the next decade.

Table Of Contents

Sweden Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Sweden 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Sweden Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sweden 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sweden 2020-2025) 10
Sweden Power Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019) 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025) 15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025) 16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025) 17
Electricity Consumption 18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019) 18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025) 18
Transmission and Distribution 19
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025) 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index 21
Denmark Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 31
Regulation And Competition 31
Sustainable Energy Policies 32
Pricing 33
Sweden Power Project Database 34
Table: Sweden Power - Top 10 Projects By Capacity 34
Competitive Landscape 35
Vattenfall 36
EON 37
Fortum 37
Regional Overview 38
NAWE Power Regional Overview 38
Glossary 45
Table: Glossary Of Terms 45
Methodology 46
Methodology And Sources 46
Industry Forecast Methodology 46
Sources 49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

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