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Nickel Metals Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. Forinstance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016weaker than we had previously expected and we have thus revised down our 2016 average price forecast toUSD9,000/tonne from USD10,500/tonne.

Latest Developments And Structural TrendsPrice Forecast

- Refined nickel prices will remain under pressure on a three-month horizon, trading in theUSD8,000-9,000/tonne range. While the market will gradually begin to tighten as elevated Chineseimports erode global stockpiles, investor sentiment towards industrial metals will remain cautious asChinese economic data continues to disappoint. By H216, we expect strengthening fundamentals in thenickel market and a more general bounce in metal prices will start to push prices towards USD10,000/tonne.

- We have lowered our nickel price forecasts for the coming years due to a more positive view on globalsupply trends, particularly from Indonesia. We now forecast an average of USD9,000/tonne andUSD10,500/tonne in 2016 and 2017, compared to our previous forecasts of USD10,500/tonne andUSD11,500/tonne, respectively.

Table Of Contents

Nickel Metals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Global Nickel Forecasts 7
Price Forecast 9
Global - Nickel: Tightening Market To Provide Price Floor in 2016 9
Table: BMI Nickel Price Forecast 9
Table: Nickel Forecasts 15
Global Trends In Supply, Demand and Trade 16
Global - Nickel: Global Market To Remain In Deficit 16
Table: Global Nickel Forecasts 17
Table: Nickel Production Forecasts 20
Table: Nickel Consumption Forecasts 22
Mine Supply: Nickel Ore 25
Industry Trend Analysis 25
Table: Global Selected New Nickel Mine Projects 30
Competitive Landscape 33
Table: Global - Top 10 Nickel Producers By 2014 Output 33
Table: Selected Nickel Companies By Market Cap 36
Company Profile 38
BHP Billiton - Q2 2016 38
Latest Financial Results 40
Table: BHP Billiton - Supply Chain Analysis 43
Table: BHP Billiton - Key Financial Data 44
Global Company Strategy - Norilsk Nickel 45
Company Overview 46
Company Strategy 47
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Supply Chain Analysis 49
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Key Financial Data 50
Vale - Q2 2016 51
Company Overview 53
Company Strategy 53
Latest Results 55
Table: Vale - Key Financial Data 56
Company Details 56
Glencore 57
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data 61
Eramet 63
Data Appendix 66
Appendix 66
Nickel: Production Balance 66
Table: Global Nickel Forecasts 67
Production Forecast 67
Table: Nickel Production Forecasts 67
Consumption Forecast 68
Table: Nickel Consumption Forecasts 68

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