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Bangladesh Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 44 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Gas will remain the dominant source of energy for electricity generation in Bangladesh formuch of the foreseeable future. However, if Bangladesh is to stop the acute gas shortages from crimpingeconomic growth, the country will have to cut its over-reliance on gas-fired capacity and diversify theenergy mix. The government has outlined plans to ensure coal accounts for 50% of the energy mix by 2030,but we remain unconvinced that such plans will come to fruition local opposition to the exploitation ofBangladesh's huge coal reserves has so far stymied the development of a domestic industry.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- BMI forecasts power generation in Bangladesh to come in at 64.5TWh in 2016, before rising to 69.5TWhin 2017, an annual growth rate of 7.8. We estimate this figure will rise to 120.2TWh in 2025, the end ofour forecast period, an average annual growth rate of 6.9%.

- The government's efforts to draw foreign investors into the country appear to have been gaining tractionover the past year. In June 2015, India-based Reliance Power secured a USD1.56bn contract fromBangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) to set up a 3GW combined-cycle power project inBangladesh. In September 2014, the BPDB signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) withMalaysian state-owned companies Tenaga Nasional and Powertek, to assess the joint development of a1,320MW coal-fired plant in Maheshkali.

Table Of Contents

Bangladesh Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Bangladesh 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Bangladesh Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Bangladesh 2015-2020) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 9
Table: Bangladesh Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Bangladesh Power Forecast Scenario 10
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecasts 10
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecasts 11
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecasts 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 18
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 18
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2014-2019) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Bangladesh 2020-2025) 19
Industry Risk Reward Index 20
Asia Power Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 24
Bangladesh Power Risk/Reward Index 25
Rewards 25
Risks 25
Market Overview 26
Key Policies And Market Structure 26
Regulation And Competition 26
Pricing 26
Bangladesh Power Projects Database 28
Table: Bangladesh Major Projects - Power 28
Competitive Landscape 32
Regional Overview 33
Asia Power Regional Overview 33
Table: China Power Snapshot 36
Glossary 38
Table: Glossary Of Terms 38
Methodology 39
Methodology And Sources 39
Industry Forecast Methodology 39
Sources 42
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 42
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 43
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 44

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