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 HD Transit Bus Market—Global Analysis

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 74 pages

HD Transit Bus Market—Global Analysis : By 2022, Hybrid and Electric Powertrain will Proliferate 39% of Total Transit Bus Sales

This Frost & Sullivan research service studies the impact of Mega Trends, industry convergence implications, and autonomous public transport business models on the global heavy-duty (HD) transit bus market. It also provides an in-depth analysis of the key regional markets, including China, Europe, India, North America, Latin America, and Rest of World. In this study, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the growth opportunities in the market, discuss the important regional trends influencing the market, and offer forecasts for key global markets.
- Conventional and bus rapid transit (BRT)
- Articulated
- Bi-articulated
It also analyzes the following powertrain segments of HD transit buses:
- Diesel
- Natural gas (compressed natural gas (CNG)/liquefied petroleum gas (LPG))
- Bio-fuel
- Hybrid
- Plug-in hybrid
- Pure electric
- Trolley bus
-
Market Overview

Hybrid and Electric Buses to Surpass Sales of Diesel Buses in the Global Transit Bus Market by 2022

The economic challenges in Russia and Latin America have affected the global HD transit bus market, forcing local transit authorities and governments to defer the modernization of bus fleets. However, this situation is set to change by 2018, as Latin America, Russia and Africa are expected to bounce back from the slowdown. Additionally, Chinese and European markets, which look for cost-effective means to reduce emission, will opt for fleet replacement with hybrid and electric buses.

China, especially, has taken extensive measures to reduce emissions, by proposing that provincial administrations aim to convert more than 50 percent of its fleets to new energy buses. Driven by strong Government incentive programs in building and commissioning of plug-in/electric buses (e-buses), a large scale adoption is taking place in China. Additionally, this has made domestically-manufactured advanced e-buses affordable, as the original equipment (OE) and supplier networks are being established for product and technology development. With the evolving technology and consumer landscape, aided by the Government, Frost & Sullivan estimates that China will be the global hub for R&D and manufacturing of e-buses globally. Meanwhile, European OE manufacturers (OEMs) are moving east to establish R&D and manufacturing footprints in the Asia Pacific (APAC) and Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) regions.

With the allocation of higher funds to improve infrastructure, establishment of BRTs, modernization of fleets, a new mid-price transit bus segment called 'value buses' is expected to be launched. These semi-low floor buses with improved safety and comfort features, intelligent ticketing system and real time tracking facility are expected to buoy the overall HD transit bus market.

Table Of Contents

 HD Transit Bus Market—Global Analysis
1EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
1 Executive Summary—Key Findings
2 Executive Summary—Snapshot of Global HD Transit Bus Market in 2022
3 Executive Summary—Snapshot of New Energy Bus Market in 2022
4 Executive Summary—HD Transit Bus Standard
5 Executive Summary—HD Transit Bus Powertrain Outlook
6 Executive Summary—Global HD Transit Bus Market Outlook

2RESEARCH OBJECTIVE, METHODOLOGY, BACKGROUND, AND SCOPE

Research Objective, Methodology, Background, and Scope
1 Research Aims and Objectives
2 Research Background
3 Research Methodology
4 Partial List of Industry Participants

3DEFINITIONS AND SEGMENTATIONS

Definitions and Segmentations
1 Market Segmentation
2 Green Powertrain Technology Segmentation

4MEGA TRENDS AND INDUSTRY CONVERGENCE IMPLICATIONS

Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
1 Mega Trends Driving Future of Passenger Mobility
2 Top Transformational Shifts Expected to Shape the Future of Passenger Mobility (2015 to 2025)
3 Urbanization Leads to the Expansion of the BRT System
4 Integrated Mobility
5 New Business Models will Disrupt Conventional Passenger Mobility
6 GHG Emission in Transportation

5AUTONOMOUS PUBLIC TRANSPORT BUSINESS MODEL

Autonomous Public Transport Business Model
1 Business Case in the Public Transportation Segment
2 Group Rapid Transit (GRT) will Replace Public Transport Buses
3 Stakeholder Analysis and Value Proposition
4 Case Study—Public Transport in London
5 Summary of Impact on the Public Transportation Business Model

6MARKET FORECAST—GLOBAL HD TRANSIT BUS MARKET

Market Forecast—Global HD Transit Bus Market
1 Top Performance in the HD Transit Bus Market
2 Global Outlook—2015 Year-end HD Transit Bus Sales
3 Global HD Transit Bus Market—Unit Shipment Forecast
4 Global HD Transit Bus Market—New Energy Bus Sales Forecast
5 New Energy Buses—Technology Penetration-2022
6 Global HD Transit Bus Market in 2022—NG and Biofuels
7 OEM Global Performance in 2015—HD Transit Bus Market

7REGIONAL HD TRANSIT BUS MARKET ANALYSIS—CHINA

Regional HD Transit Bus Market Analysis—China
1 China—HD Transit Bus Market: Key Influencing Trends
2 China—HD Transit Bus Market: Powertrain Forecast
3 China—Key Transit Bus OEMs: Market Share Analysis
4 China—Partial Matrix of OEMs and Powertrain

8REGIONAL HD TRANSIT BUS MARKET ANALYSIS—INDIA

Regional HD Transit Bus Market Analysis—India
1 India—HD Transit Bus Market: Key Influencing Trends
2 India—HD Transit Bus Market: Powertrain Forecast
3 India—Key Transit Bus OEMs: Market Share Analysis
4 India—Partial Matrix of OEMs and Powertrain

9REGIONAL HD TRANSIT BUS MARKET ANALYSIS—EUROPE

Regional HD Transit Bus Market Analysis—Europe
1 Europe—HD Transit Bus Market: Key Influencing Trends
2 Europe—HD Transit Bus Market: Powertrain Forecast
3 Europe—Key Transit Bus OEMs: Market Share Analysis
4 Europe—Partial Matrix of OEMs and Powertrain

10REGIONAL HD TRANSIT BUS MARKET ANALYSIS—NORTH AMERICA

Regional HD Transit Bus Market Analysis—North America
1 North America—HD Transit Bus Market: Key Influencing Trends
2 North America—HD Transit Bus Market: Powertrain Forecast
3 North America—Key Transit Bus OEMs: Market Share Analysis
4 North America—Partial Matrix of OEMs and Powertrain

11REGIONAL HD TRANSIT BUS MARKET ANALYSIS—LATIN AMERICA

Regional HD Transit Bus Market Analysis—Latin America
1 Latin America—HD Transit Bus Market: Key Influencing Trends
2 Latin America—HD Transit Bus Market: Powertrain Forecast
3 Latin America—Key Transit Bus OEMs: Market Share
4 Latin America—Partial Matrix of OEMs and Powertrain

12REGIONAL HD TRANSIT BUS MARKET ANALYSIS—REST OF WORLD

Regional HD Transit Bus Market Analysis—Rest of World
1 RoW—HD Transit Bus Market: Powertrain Forecast
2 RoW—HD Transit Bus Market: Powertrain Forecast
3 RoW—Partial Matrix of OEMs and Powertrain

13CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

Conclusions and Future Outlook
1 Key Findings
2 The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
3 Legal Disclaimer

14APPENDIX

Appendix
1 Table of Acronyms Used
2 Methodology

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