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South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 49 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We envisage healthy growth across the South African freight modes in 2016, despitechallenging external and domestic headwinds over the course of the next 12 months, in particular theeurozone crisis and the economic slowdown in China. We expect that growth in rail freight volumes willaccelerate in 2016, thanks to a somewhat brighter outlook for the coal mining sector, while road freight willoutperform across the modes.

Latest Updates And Forecasts

- Road freight is set to be the outperforming freight mode in 2016, with tonnage growth coming in at 4.6%y-o-y.

- There has been increasing labour unrest in South Africa over the past several years and since the 2012Marikana massacre, in particular. We believe this could affect volumes exported through South Africanports and thus potentially have quite a detrimental impact on volumes handled at the country's mainfacilities.

- 2016 total trade real growth is forecast at 4.3%, while in nominal terms, growth will contract by 5.4% toUSD195.6bn.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (South Africa 2013-2020) 5
SWOT 6
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 8
Trade Forecast 8
Table: Trade Overview (South Africa 2013-2020) 11
Table: Key Trade Indicators (South Africa 2013-2020) 12
Table: Main Import Partners 12
Table: Main Export Partners 13
Road Freight Forecast 14
Table: Road Freight (South Africa 2013-2020) 17
Rail Freight Forecast 18
Table: Rail Freight (South Africa 2013-2020) 21
Air Freight Forecast 22
Table: Air Freight (South Africa 2013-2020) 25
Shipping Forecast 26
Table: Major Ports Data (South Africa 2013-2020) 28
Market Overview 30
Company Profile 34
Transnet Freight Rail (TFR) 34
Grindrod 38
Demographic Forecast 41
Demographic Outlook 41
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 42
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 42
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 43
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 43
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 44
Methodology 46
Industry Forecast Methodology 46
Sector-Specific Methodology 47
Sources 49

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