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Denmark Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 82 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Development delays at the Hejre field and the accompanying forecast change will see Denmark become a crude net importer throughout the forecast period. While its status as a gas net exporter is maintained at the moment, we highlight strong downside risk to gas production and exports after Maersk Oil expressed the possibility of closing the Tyra East and Tyra West fields by 2018.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts



- We have recently downgraded Denmark’s oil production forecast from 2017 onwards on the back of new delays to the Hejre field development. While we temporarily have the field starting up in 2018 as opposed to our previous forecast of 2017, we highlight increasingly downside risk to the project materialising given no new development option has been identified at the time of writing and given DONG Energy is considering the sale of its oil and gas activity altogether.

- As of late 2016, we note further downside risk to the Hejre project will suffer further setbacks or be entirely cancelled. Indeed, in October 2016, DONG Energy highlighted it is in the process of assessing its upstream oil and gas business, with regard to a potential sale, underlining its declining appetite to expand oil and gas activities in light of its more profitable offshore wind business. Should the sale of its upstream oil and gas business go through, it is very unclear what the future of the Hejre project will become.

Table Of Contents

Denmark Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Denmark 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 16
Table: Denmark Major Upstream Projects 16
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 21
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 21
Upstream Production - Gas 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 25
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 25
Refining 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 28
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 28
Refined Fuels Consumption 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Denmark 2014-2019) 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Denmark 2020-2025) 30
Gas Consumption 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2014-2019) 33
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2020-2025) 33
Trade - Oil 34
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2020) 36
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 36
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019) 37
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 38
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019) 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 42
Industry Risk Reward Index 43
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Developed States Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Upstream RRI: Resource Base Drives Rankings 44
North America Open To Investment, At The Right Price 44
Limited Resources Elsewhere Show Through In Scores 45
Table: Developed States Upstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Downstream RRI: WTI Discount 47
Table: Developed States Downstream Risk/Reward Index 49
Denmark - Risk/Reward Index 50
Upstream Index 50
Downstream Index 51
Market Overview 52
Denmark Energy Market Overview 52
Fiscal Regime 53
Table: Denmark - Upstream Tax Regime 53
Licensing Regime 53
Licensing Rounds 54
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 55
Oil Refineries 55
Table: Refineries In Denmark 55
Oil Storage Facilities 55
Oil Pipelines/Terminals 56
LNG Terminals 56
Gas Storage Facilities 56
Gas Pipelines 57
Competitive Landscape 58
Latest Updates 58
Table: Key Players - Danish Oil And Gas Sector 58
Table: Key Upstream Players 58
Table: Key Downstream Players 59
Company Profile 60
DONG Energy 60
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Denmark 61
Table: Key Financial Data (DKKmn) 61
Upstream Sales to Fuel Renewable Transition 61
Regional Overview 63
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 63
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 73
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 74
Glossary 75
Table: Glossary Of Terms 75
Methodology 77
Industry Forecast Methodology 77
Source 79
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 79
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 81
Table: Weighting 82

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