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Peru Power Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Peru's power sector will experience strong growth over the coming years as a result of the development of numerous new hydropower and thermal power projects, which will allow the country to meet its fast-rising power consumption - driven by its expanding mining sector and middle class. While opportunities for non-hydropower renewables developers will be mostly limited to the off-grid segment and delays in project implementation remain a risk, the government goal of increasing Peru's ability of exporting power will contribute to driving demand for transmission and distribution assets.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Recent developments regarding the Southern Peruvian Gas Pipeline (Gasoducto Sur Peruano, GSP) align with our view that the project will be completed, although with delays. In September 2016, it was confirmed that a consortium composed by US company Sempra Energy and Italo-Argentinian conglomerate Techint is willing to take over Brazilian conglomerate Odebrecht in constructing and operating the GSP. In October, it was reported that the sale of Odebrecht's stakes in the project to the consortium is expected to be concluded before the end of 2016 and that a USD4.2bn loan for developing the GSP from a syndicate of international banks should finally be disbursed (it was originally due in March 2016).

Table Of Contents

Peru Power Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Peru 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Peru Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Peru 2015-2020) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Peru 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Peru Power Forecast Scenario 12
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Table: Peru Key Thermal Power Pipeline 15
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 19
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 21
Table: Peru's Third Renewables Energy Auction - Results 22
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 25
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 25
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 27
Electricity Consumption 27
Table: Peru - Key Copper Projects 28
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 29
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 30
Table: Power Transmission Projects To Be Tendered By Proinversión 31
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 32
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 32
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Peru 2014-2019) 34
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Peru 2020-2025) 34
Industry Risk/Reward Index 35
LatAm Power Risk/Reward Index 35
Table: Chile - Main Auction Winners Bidding New Renewables Projects 38
Table: Latin America - Risk Reward Index Scores For Q4 2016 42
Peru Power Risk/Reward Index 43
Rewards 43
Risks 43
Market Overview 45
Key Policies And Market Structure 45
Regulation And Competition 45
Peru Power Projects Database 46
Competitive Landscape 48
Electroperu 49
Enel 49
Duke Energy 50
Engie 50
EGE San Gaban 50
Perenesa 51
Regional Overview 52
Table: Bmi's Key Themes For Latin America's Power Industry In 2016 And Beyond 54
Glossary 58
Table: Glossary Of Terms 58
Methodology 59
Methodology And Sources 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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