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Ghana Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

BMI View: We believe that the Ghanaian cocoa sector will post reasonably strong growth over ourforecast period to 2018/19. High cocoa prices will encourage production, while the government haspledged schemes in order to encourage yield growth. However, a significant portion of the growth will bedue to base effects. We also see long-term opportunities (but also significant structural challenges) in WestAfrica's palm oil sector.

Key BMI Forecasts

- Cocoa production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 42% to 996,000 tonnes. While much of this growth willbe due to base effects, the government has committed to supplying free inputs and improvinginfrastructure, while Cocobod has reformed its cocoa payment price.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 5.2% (up from an estimated 3.4% in 2015).

- 2016 consumer price inflation (ave): 14.0% (down from 17% in 2015).

Table Of Contents

Ghana Agribusiness Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Cocoa Outlook 11
Table: Ghana - Cocoa Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Table: Cocoa Production and Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) 14
Palm Oil Outlook 14
Table: Ghana - Palm Oil Production and Consumption Outlook 14
Table: Risks To Outlook 15
Table: Cocoa Production and Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) 17
Commodities Price Analysis 18
Global Commodities Strategy 18
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 18
Featured Analysis 20
African Agriculture: Lower Growth Over Coming Years 20
Table: African Union CAADP Objectives To 2025 21
Table: Indonesia - Select Inward Cocoa Investment Projects 26
Table: Most Popular Brands Are Foreign - New Tractor Sales Current Market Share In South Africa In 2014 (%) 29
Uptream Analysis 32
Africa Machinery Outlook 32
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 32
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012) 37
Africa GM Outlook 38
Table: Farm Size By Region 42
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 44
Downstream Analysis 51
Food 51
Latest Forecasts 51
Structural Trends 51
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ghana 2012-2019) 52
Regional Overview 53
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 53
Demographic Forecast 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025) 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65

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