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Global Zinc Metals Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zincprices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shiftthe market to a deficit.

Latest Developments & Structural TrendsPrice Forecast

- We maintain our 2016 average zinc price forecast of USD1,750/tonne and expect prices to average onlyUSD1,950/tonne by the end of our forecast period in 2020. Our below-consensus forecast, whichrepresents only a 0.6% increase in prices between 2015 and 2020, reflects our broader view for basemetals to experience a stabilisation rather than a rebound.Production

- Global refined zinc production growth will slow to 2.2% in 2016 from 3.3% in 2015, as firms curb outputin response to weak prices and two key mines come offline. We forecast global zinc output to increaseslightly, from 14.3 million tonnes (mnt) in 2016 to 15.3mnt by 2020, averaging 1.8% annual growth.

- China will remain the key global producer of refined zinc, accounting for an estimated 44.4% of globaloutput in 2016 and increasing that share slightly to 45.4% by 2020. Chinese zinc production will increaseby only 1.0% in 2016, down from 8.5% in 2015, due to weak prices, a global ore deficit and thegovernment's efforts to consolidate the industry.

Table Of Contents

Global Zinc Metals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
BMI View 5
Table: Global - Zinc Supply, Demand and Price Forecasts 5
Price Forecast 7
Global - Zinc: Move To Global Deficit To Provide Limited Upward Pressure On Prices 7
Table: BMI Zinc Forecasts 7
Table: Global Zinc Supply, Demand and Price Forecasts 12
Global Trends In Supply, Demand And Trade 13
Global Trends In Supply, Demand and Trade 13
Table: Global - Zinc Supply, Demand and Price Forecasts 14
Table: Refined Zinc Production Forecasts 17
Table: Refined Zinc Consumption Forecasts 20
Mine Supply: Zinc 23
Zinc: Steep Cuts In 2016 To Improve Long-Term Outlook 23
Table: Global - Select Zinc Projects 27
Table: Global Zinc Mine Production Forecasts (2014-2020) 27
Competitive Landscape 28
Table: Largest Listed Zinc Producers By Market Capitalisation 31
Company Profile 33
Global Company Strategy - MMG Limited - Q2 2016 33
Table: MMG Ltd - Supply Chain Analysis 37
Table: MMG Limited - Key Financial Data 38
Global Company Strategy - Vedanta Resources - Q1 2016 39
Latest Financial Results 41
Company Strategy 42
Table: Vedanta Resources - Supply Chain Analysis 43
Company Details 44
Table: Vedanta Resources - Key Financial Data 45
Glencore 46
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data 50
Canada - Company Profile - Teck Resources - Q1 2016 52
Table: Teck - Key Financial Data 55
Appendix 56
Data Appendix 56
Table: Global - Zinc Supply, Demand and Price Forecast 57
Table: Refined Zinc Production Forecasts 57
Table: Refined Zinc Consumption Forecasts 58

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