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  4. > Central America Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

Central America Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 135 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Freight growth will differ across Central America; however, all of the economies in questionwill benefit from the economic upswing and the improved labour market situation in the United Stateswhich will feed through into raising demand for Central American exports and increase remittance inflowsinto the region, particularly into Guatemala and Honduras. Air freight will benefit from improvedconnectivity throughout Central America as a number of airlines scheduled new services to economies inthe region. However, all of the economies will remain heavily reliant on road freight which will continue toaccount for around 99% of the market share in the whole of Central America.

Major risks for the regionmay arise from the ratification of the TPP which will raise cost pressure on Central American textileexports.BelizeBMI forecasts moderate growth of 1.9% for Belize's road freight in 2016. Similarly to other CentralAmerican economies Belize will benefit from an acceleration of the US economy, Belize's major exportpartner, and higher sugar prices, which will stimulate throughput in the domestic sugar industry. Total tradewill witness real growth of 5.3%. Both over 2016, as well as over the medium term, air freight growth willsubstantially outperform road freight growth, although growth does come from a very low base. A numberof airlines have launched new services to Belize City airport, the most recent one being the connectionbetween Houston and Belize City offered by Southwest Airlines. The additional air cargo capacityrepresents upside risk to our air freight growth forecast.

Table Of Contents

Central America Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Belize Freight Transport SWOT 10
Costa Rica Freight Transport SWOT 11
El Salvador Freight Transport SWOT 12
Guatemala Freight Transport SWOT 13
Honduras Freight Transport SWOT 15
Nicaragua Freight Transport SWOT 16
Industry Forecast 17
Belize Trade Forecast 17
Table: Trade Overview (Belize 2013-2020) 18
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Belize 2013-2020) 19
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 20
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 21
Belize Road Freight Forecast 22
Table: Road Freight (Belize 2013-2020) 24
Belize Air Freight Forecast 25
Table: Air Freight (Belize 2013-2020) 27
Costa Rica Trade Forecast 28
Table: Trade Overview (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 29
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 30
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 31
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 31
Costa Rica Road Freight Forecast 33
Table: Road Freight (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 34
Costa Rica Air Freight Forecast 35
Table: Air Freight (Costa Rica 2013-2020) 37
Costa Rica Shipping Forecast 38
Ocean Shipping 38
Table: Major Ports (Costa Rica 2014-2020) 40
El Salvador Trade Forecast 41
Table: Trade Overview (El Salvador 2013-2020) 43
Table: Key Trade Indicators (El Salvador 2013-2020) 43
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 44
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 45
El Salvador Road Freight Forecast 46
Table: Road Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020) 48
El Salvador Air Freight Forecast 49
Table: Air Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020) 51
Guatemala Trade Forecast 52
Table: Trade Overview (Guatemala 2013-2020) 54
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Guatemala 2013-2020) 54
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 55
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 56
Guatemala Road Freight Forecast 57
Table: Road Freight (Guatemala 2013-2020) 59
Guatemala Air Freight Forecast 60
Table: Air Freight (Guatemala 2013-2020) 61
Guatemala Shipping Forecast 62
Ocean Shipping 62
Table: Major Ports (Guatemala 2014-2020) 64
Honduras Trade Forecast 65
Table: Trade Overview (Honduras 2013-2020) 67
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Honduras 2013-2020) 67
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 68
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 69
Honduras Road Freight Forecast 70
Table: Road Freight (Honduras 2013-2020) 72
Honduras Air Freight Forecast 73
Table: Air Freight (Honduras 2013-2020) 75
Honduras Shipping Forecast 76
Ocean Shipping 76
Table: Major Ports (Honduras 2014-2020) 78
Nicaragua Trade Forecast 79
Table: Trade Overview (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 81
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 81
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn 82
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn 83
Nicaragua Road Freight Forecast 84
Table: Road Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 86
Nicaragua Air Freight Forecast 87
Table: Air Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020) 89
Market Overview 90
Belize Market Overview 90
Costa Rica Market Overview 92
El Salvador Market Overview 94
Guatemala Market Overview 96
Honduras Market Overview 98
Nicaragua Market Overview 100
Demographic Forecast 102
Demographic Outlook 102
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Belize 1990-2025) 103
Table: Key Population Ratios (Belize 1990-2025) 103
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Belize 1990-2025) 104
Table: Population By Age Group (Belize 1990-2025) 104
Table: Population By Age Group % (Belize 1990-2025) 105
Demographic Outlook 107
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 108
Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 108
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 109
Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 109
Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025) 110
Demographic Outlook 112
Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025) 113
Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025) 113
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025) 114
Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025) 114
Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025) 115
Demographic Outlook 117
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Guatemala 1990-2025) 118
Table: Key Population Ratios (Guatemala 1990-2025) 118
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Guatemala 1990-2025) 119
Table: Population By Age Group (Guatemala 1990-2025) 119
Table: Population By Age Group % (Guatemala 1990-2025) 120
Demographic Outlook 122
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Honduras 1990-2025) 123
Table: Key Population Ratios (Honduras 1990-2025) 123
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Honduras 1990-2025) 124
Table: Population By Age Group (Honduras 1990-2025) 124
Table: Population By Age Group % (Honduras 1990-2025) 125
Demographic Outlook 127
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 128
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 128
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 129
Table: Population By Age Group (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 129
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nicaragua 1990-2025) 130
Methodology 132
Industry Forecast Methodology 132
Sector-Specific Methodology 133
Sources 135

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