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Japan Retail Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We forecast only lacklustre growth for the Japanese economy over our forecast period to 2020,averaging 0.7% a year. This, added to the challenges of an ageing population and declining population,means that growth opportunities in Japan's retail market remain limited. Meanwhile, with one of theworld's most developed retail sectors, foreign entrants find it difficult to gain a toehold in the market.However, the industry will continue to grow, as the population remains affluent and highly urbanised, andwith tourist numbers increasing, opportunities for foreign luxury retailers should increase.

Key Developments And BMI Forecasts

- Total household spending is forecast at USD2,540.6bn in 2016, rising to USD2.883.7bn by 2020. Growthwill pick up towards the end of our forecast period, as consumer confidence improves, from around 2% in2016 and 2017 to 4.3% by 2020.

- Essential living costs take the lion's share of Japan's household spending. Housing and utilities willaccount for 25.1% of retail spending in 2016, followed by personal, insurance and other at 14.6%, foodand non-alcoholic drinks at 13.2% and transport at 11.9%.

Table Of Contents

Japan Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Japan 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Japan 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Japan 2013-2020) 14
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Japan 2013-2020) 15
Retail Sector Forecast 17
Food, Drink and Tobacco 18
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Japan 2013-2020) 18
Clothing and Footwear 19
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Japan 2013-2020) 19
Household Goods 20
Table: Household Goods Spending (Japan 2013-2020) 20
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Japan 2013-2020) 21
Personal Care and Effects 21
Table: Personal Care Spending (Japan 2013-2020) 22
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 23
Table: Household Income Data (Japan 2013-2020) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Japan 2013-2020) 26
Demographic Forecast 27
Table: Total Population (Japan 2013-2020) 28
Table: Population: Babies (Japan 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Young Children (Japan 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Children (Japan 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Japan 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young People (Japan 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Japan 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: 21 Years-Plus (Japan 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Adults (Japan 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Japan 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Japan 2013-2020) 32
Industry Risk/Reward Index 33
Asia Risk/Reward Index 33
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 33
Japan Risk/Reward Index 34
Rewards 34
Risks 35
Market Overview 36
Competitive Landscape 40
Table: Clothing And Footwear 40
Table: Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 41
Table: Electronics 42
Table: Pharmacies And Drugstores 43
Table: Department Stores 44
Table: E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 45
Glossary 46
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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