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South Korea Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: In the short term, we hold a bearish view on South Korea's freight sector as the moderaterecovery in the domestic economy will be insufficient to offset the external slowdown, resulting in weaktrade dynamics over 2016. Road freight will buck the trend, expanding by 4.6% over the year, on the backof lower fuel prices and the uptick in consumer spending. Rail freight will be stimulated by the increasingdemand for iron and steel in the build-up to the 2018 Olympics. Weak consumer electronics import demandfrom China and a falling Japanese yen will weigh on the air freight sector, while maritime freight volumeswill be buoyed by improving macroeconomic fundamentals over the medium term.

Looking ahead, allfreight modes in the country are expected to recover from the short-term slowdown owing to economicrecovery and key FTAs and discussions with regional partners.Over the short term, we hold a bearish view with regards to the Korean economy as the moderate recoveryin the domestic economy will be insufficient to offset the stronger than expected slowdown in the externalsector. As a result, we have downgraded our real GDP forecast for 2016 to 2.8% from 3.0% previously.Good growth in the construction sector will provide some support to economic growth in 2016; however,domestic consumption is expected to remain muted, largely predicated on South Korea's persistently highhousehold debt load (approximately 90% of GDP).

Table Of Contents

South Korea Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (South Korea 2013-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Trade Forecast 10
Table: Trade Overview (South Korea 2013-2020) 13
Table: Key Trade Indicators (South Korea 2013-2020) 14
Table: Main Import Partners 15
Table: Main Export Partners 16
Road Freight Forecast 17
Table: Road Freight (South Korea 2013-2020) 20
Rail Freight Forecast 21
Table: Rail Freight (South Korea 2013-2020) 23
Air Freight Forecast 24
Table: Air Freight (South Korea 2013-2020) 27
Shipping Forecast 28
Ocean Shipping 28
Table: Major Ports Data (South Korea 2013-2020) 33
Market Overview 35
Company Profile 37
CJ Korea Express 37
Korean Air Cargo 40
Demographic Forecast 44
Demographic Outlook 44
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Korea 1990-2025) 45
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Korea 1990-2025) 45
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Korea 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group (South Korea 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Korea 1990-2025) 47
Methodology 49
Industry Forecast Methodology 49
Sector-Specific Methodology 50
Sources 52

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