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Italy Power Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

BMI View: Non-hydropower renewables and transmission and distribution networks will be the most attractive sectors in the Italian power market in 2016, due to planned financial incentives for non-PV renewables and public and private focus on the development of additional cross-border power interconnections. Delays in the introduction of a capacity market maintain our outlook for the Italian thermal power sector grim, with further retirements expected to take place.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-The first round of auction for a simplified thermal capacity market didn't take place in September 2015, the deadline initially recommended by the Italian energy regulator AEEGSI in March. This makes unlikely that a capacity market will be introduced by 2017, the deadline suggested by AEEGSI to guarantee the stability of the Italian power market. These factors, coupled with low wholesale electricity prices and growing renewables power generation, support our negative outlook for Italy's thermal power sector - with additional capacity retirements expected.

-The narrow margins of Italy's thermal power generators could push players in the sector towards consolidation. As a potential first step in this direction, in November 2015, utilities A2A and Sorgenia agreed on the shared management of two CCGT power plants for a period of five years. The aim of the operation is to enhance the efficiency of the grid and of the plants involved.

Table Of Contents

Italy Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Italy 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Italy Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Italy 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Italy 2019-2024) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Italy Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2018) 20
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Italy 2019-2024) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2018) 21
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Italy 2019-2024) 22
Electricity Consumption 23
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2018) 24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Italy 2019-2024) 24
Transmission And Distribution, Imports and Exports 25
Table: Italy's Recent Power Transmission Sector Developments 27
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2018) 27
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Italy 2019-2024) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2018) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Italy 2019-2024) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 29
Europe - NAWE Power RRI: US Outperforms Tepid European Power Markets 29
Italy Power Risk/Reward Ratings 35
Rewards 35
Risks 35
Market Overview 37
Key Policies And Market Structure 37
Regulation And Competition 37
Pricing 38
Italy Power Projects Database 39
Competitive Landscape 41
Enel 41
Edison 42
Terna 42
Other Companies 42
Company Profile 44
Enel 44
Regional Overview 49
NAWE Power Regional Overview 49
Glossary 55
Table: Glossary Of Terms 55
Methodology 56
Methodology And Sources 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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