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  4. > United Kingdom Power Report Q1 2016

United Kingdom Power Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Plans to phase out the UK's remaining coal-fired power capacity by 2025 cement the decline of coal, which is already occurring due to tightening EU emissions directives, the UK's carbon price floor and a sustained period of lower gas prices. The biggest challenge when removing coal from the energy mix will be mobilising investment into replacement gas capacity, which will certainly require reform of the UK's capacity mechanism.
- We have decided to factor the UK's plans to close all of its coal-fired capacity by 2025 into our 10-year forecasts. We remain cognisant of considerable risks to this plan - not least that the government will have
to incentivise the construction of replacement gas-fired generation via alterations to its capacity mechanism, but we believe the direction of travel with regards to phasing out aging coal capacity is clear. We forecast coal will account for just 5% of total electricity generation by the end of our forecast period in 2024 and we will look to reduce this to zero when we extend our forecasts to 2025.
- On November 4 2015, National Grid was forced to use a series of emergency measures to prevent power cuts as its reserves ran low. National Grid paid the owner of the Severn power station Calon aboutnd
GBP2,500 (USD3,771) per MWh to provide an additional 500MW for two hours.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
United Kingdom Snapshot . 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United Kingdom 2014-2018) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United Kingdom 2019-2024) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector . 10
United Kingdom Power Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity .. 11
Table: Key Components Of The Energy Bill 14
Table: UK Planned Nuclear Projects . 26
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2018) . . 28
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2019-2024) . . 29
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2018) . 30
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2019-2024) . 31
Electricity Consumption .. 32
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2018) 33
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2019-2024) 33
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports .. 33
Table: Planned Interconnections Will Boost Power Supply . . 35
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2018) . . 35
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2019-2024) . . 36
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2018) . . 36
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2019-2024) . . 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 37
Europe - NAWE Power RRI: US Outperforms Tepid European Power Markets 37
United Kingdom Power Risk/Reward Index .. 43
Rewards .. 43
Risks . 43
Market Overview 45
Key Policies And Market Structure .. 45
Regulation And Competition 45
Table: Key Components Of The Energy Bill 47
Sustainable Energy Policies 48
Pricing . 49
United Kingdom Power Projects Database 51
Competitive Landscape . 53
EDF Energy 53
The National Grid Company .. 53
E.ON 54
RWE npower .. 54
SSE .. 55
Scottish Power 55
Centrica .. 56
Company Profile . 58
EDF 58
Regional Overview 65
NAWE Power Regional Overview 65
Glossary .. 71
Table: Glossary Of Terms 71
Methodology . 72
Methodology And Sources . 72
Industry Forecast Methodology . 72
Sources 75
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 77

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