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The Emerging Asia-Pacific telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2016-2021

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Analysys Mason
  • -
  • 53 pages

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"Total telecoms retail revenue in emerging Asia-Pacific will grow at a CAGR of 2.3%, increasing from USD278 billion in 2015 to USD319 billion in 2021."

Competition is strong in the telecoms market in emerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP) due to the presence of three or more operators in each key market (except Philippines), and pressure on pricing has restricted growth in this region. Revenue for core services (voice and messaging) will decline, but growth in mobile data, IoT, fixed broadband and IPTV services will compensate for this, generating positive overall growth during 2015-2021.

THIS REPORT AND ASSOCIATED DATA ANNEX PROVIDE:
- a 5-year forecast of more than 175 mobile and fixed KPIs for EMAP, as a whole and for 11 key countries
- an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
- an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
- a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

Our forecasts are informed by on-the-ground regional market experts from our topic-led research programmes and our consulting division, as well as external interviews. In addition to our robust set of historical data, our forecasts draw on a unique and in-house modelling tool, which applies a rigorous methodology (reconciliation of different sources, standard definitions, top-down and bottom-up modelling). For the complete data set, see the accompanying Excel file at www.analysysmason.com/EMAP-Nov2016.

REPORT COVERAGE


Regions modelled:

- Emerging AsiaPacific (EMAP)

Countries modelled individually
- Bangladesh
- China
- India
- Indonesia
- Malaysia
- Myanmar
- Pakistan
- Philippines
- Sri Lanka
- Thailand
- Vietnam


Key performance indicators

Connections
Mobile
- Handset, mobile broadband1, IoT2
- Prepaid, contract
- 2G, 3G, 4G/5G
- Smartphone, non-smartphone

Fixed
- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
- Narrowband voice, VoBB
- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Voice traffic
Fixed and mobile
- Outgoing minutes, MoU


Revenue
Mobile
- Service3 , retail
- Prepaid, contract
- Handset, mobile broadband1 , IoT2
- Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed
- Service3 , retail
- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other


ARPU
Mobile:
- SIMs, handset
- Prepaid, contract
- Handset voice, data

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