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  5. > Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Key Forecasts

- We have revised downward our 2015/16 corn production forecast as 'vuli' rains, which occured duringQ415, were delayed and erratic, weighing on the 'vuli' corn crop, which was harvested in Q116. The 'vuli'crop accounts for about 30% of the total corn output. Consequently, we now forecast 2015/16 productionto decline by 3.5% y-o-y to 4.8mn tonnes.

- We have revised downward the growth trajectory of our coffee production forecasts as we believe thesector will remain constrained by low yields, inferior quality and recurring smuggling, which combine toprevent farmers from investing in their crop.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 6.5% y-o-y (up from 6.0% in 2015)

- 2016 Consumer Price Inflation BMI Forecast: 6.5% y-o-y (up from 5.7% y-o-y in 2015)

Table Of Contents

Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 12
Coffee Outlook 12
Table: Tanzania Coffee Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 14
Sugar Outlook 15
Table: Tanzania Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 17
Rice Outlook 18
Table: Tanzania - Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Risks To Outlook 19
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 21
Grains Outlook 22
Table: Tanzania - Corn Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Tanzania 2012-2020) 24
Commodities Price Analysis 25
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 25
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 25
Upstream Analysis 27
Africa GM Outlook 27
Table: Farm Size By Region 31
Africa Machinery Outlook 33
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 33
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012) 38
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 39
Downstream Analysis 46
Food 46
Latest Updates 46
Structural Trends 47
Table: Food Sales (Tanzania 2013-2020) 48
Regional Overview 50
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 50
Demographic Forecast 56
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tanzania 1990-2025) 57
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tanzania 1990-2025) 57
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Tanzania 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group (Tanzania 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tanzania 1990-2025) 59
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62

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