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France Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Non-hydropower renewable power will receive the bulk of new investments, while nuclearpower will remain France's dominant electricity source. More stringent emission targets, combined withthermal power becoming increasingly unprofitable, will cement the position of the cheaper nuclear- andrenewable power sources.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

- After discovering weak spots in the vessel of the European Pressurised Reactor (EPR) for the plannedFlamanville 3 nuclear power plant, French nuclear regulator ASN has stated it is delaying its decision onhow to proceed until end-2016. This could potentially lead to further delays to the nuclear reactor as wellas higher costs, which is already estimated to cost EUR10.5bn, an increase from the initial EUR3bn.

- The Bouchain combined-cycle power plant, currently under construction, will receive the first 9HA unitfrom GE, which is being touted as the world's largest and most efficient gas turbine with a generatingcapacity of over 61%.

- Électricité de France (EDF) is planning to shut down all its fuel oil-fired power plants by 2018. Thecurrent low power price environment has made the operation of oil-fired power unprofitable.

- In the absence of new hydropower projects, we are maintaining our current forecasts for hydropower inFrance, with total generation expected to shrink from 56.18 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2016 to 52.9TWh in2025.

- The Cestas solar farm in Bordeaux has been commissioned and connected to the grid. At 300MW incapacity, It is officially Europe's largest solar power plant.

- The winners of a total of 200 solar power projects, totalling up to 800 megawatt (MW) in capacity, havebeen announced by the French Ministry of Ecology, Sustainable Development and Energy. Feed-intariffs(FiT) will apply for the projects at EUR129/MWh for rooftop and EUR124/MWh for groundmountedsolar panels.

Table Of Contents

France Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (France 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
France Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (France 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Demographic And Economic Data (France 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
France Power Forecast Scenario 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 16
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 17
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 21
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 21
Electricity Consumption 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 23
Transmission And Distribution 23
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 25
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 25
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index 26
France Power Risk/Reward Index 32
Rewards 32
Risks 32
Market Overview 34
Key Policies And Market Structure 34
Regulation And Competition 34
Sustainable Energy Policies 34
Pricing 35
France Power Projects Database 37
Table: France - Top Ten Projects By Capacity 39
Competitive Landscape 41
Electricite de France (EDF) 41
Engie 42
Poweo Direct Energie 42
Areva 43
Company Profile 45
Electricite de France (EDF) 45
Regional Overview 50
NAWE Power Regional Overview 50
Glossary 57
Table: Glossary Of Terms 57
Methodology 58
Methodology And Sources 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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