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Italy Power Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Cheaper natural gas will boost Italy's spark spread in 2016, but will reinforce the problems facing thecountry's thermal power sector in 2017 as the lower price of gas is pushing forward power prices lower.Faced with this challenging operating environment - which will be compounded by contracting powerconsumption and delays to the introduction of a capacity market - utilities will continue to retire excessthermal power capacity and consolidate, to cut costs and improve efficiency. The European Commission(EC) is reviewing capacity markets mechanism in Europe, with guidelines on the scheme'simplementation reportedly scheduled to be released by end-2016.

- Utility A2A has been most active in the consolidation trend. In January 2016 it acquired utility LineaGroup Holding, and in November 2015 it reached an agreement with Sorgenia on the sharedmanagement of two combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) power plants for five years. We expect thecompany to continue with the acquisition of smaller municipal utilities in the north of Italy, in line withits plan to create a new company that will integrate its CCGT assets with those of all its subsidiaries.

- Data released by Terna on Italy's power consumption showed power demand in the country grew 1.5%in 2015, in line with our estimate. It is the first time that power consumption in Italy expands since 2011,but we believe this will not be the start of a trend. Growth in power demand in 2015 was due tounseasonably hot weather, while structural dynamics in the Italian economy and power sector suggestconsumption of electricity in Italy will resume its slow contraction over the next few years.

Table Of Contents

Italy Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Italy 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Italy Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Italy 2015-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Italy 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Italy Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025) 22
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025) 24
Electricity Consumption 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 26
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025) 26
Transmission And Distribution, Imports and Exports 26
Table: Italy's Recent Power Transmission Sector Developments 29
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 29
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025) 29
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 30
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025) 30
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 31
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index 31
Italy Power Risk/Reward Ratings 37
Rewards 37
Risks 37
Market Overview 39
Key Policies And Market Structure 39
Regulation And Competition 39
Pricing 41
Italy Power Projects Database 42
Competitive Landscape 44
Enel 44
Edison 45
Terna 45
Other Companies: Risk To Profits Will Encourage Thermal Power Consolidation 45
Company Profile 47
Enel 47
Regional Overview 53
NAWE Power Regional Overview 53
Glossary 60
Table: Glossary Of Terms 60
Methodology 61
Methodology And Sources 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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