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India Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Household spending has remained constrained over the past two years even as the rest of theeconomy posts strong headline growth rates. We expect spending will gradually improve over our forecastperiod as consumers become confident. That being said, Indian households are highly price-conscious, asaverage income remains low. Key consumer groups will be the young, increasingly urbanised populationwho will emerge as the main drivers of retail spending.However, most Indians are still rural dwellers, and the agriculture sector is a major employer. Asagricultural incomes are typically low, and workers in the sector are affected by unstable weather patterns aswell as underemployment, this limits the participation a large majority of the population can have in themodern retail sector. Indeed, while incomes are rising, they will remain small, with 14% of Indianhouseholds forecast to have a net income of USD10,000 or over by 2020. This means that retail spendingwill continue to be skewed in favour of essential purchases and non-organised retail, while rural dwellers,and retailers seeking to access this market, are hampered by poor transport infrastructure, which raises costsdramatically.While essentials, notably food and drink, transport and housing and utilities, will still account for the lion'sshare of retail spending in India over our forecast period, non-essential spending such as on restaurants andhotels is growing rapidly from a low base, and spending on areas such as health and education is alsogrowing rapidly.

Table Of Contents

India Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 12
Headline Retail Forecast 12
Table: Total Household Spending (India 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (India 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (India 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (India 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 20
Food, Drink And Tobacco 21
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (India 2013-2020) 22
Clothing And Footwear 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (India 2013-2020) 23
Household Goods 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (India 2013-2020) 24
Personal Care 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (India 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (India 2013-2020) 29
Table: Labour Market Data (India 2013-2020) 31
Demographic Forecast 32
Table: Total Population (India 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Babies (India 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Children (India 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (India 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (India 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young People (India 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (India 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (India 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Young Adults (India 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Middle Aged (India 2013-2020) 39
Table: Population: Urban (India 2013-2020) 39
Industry Risk/Reward Index 40
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 40
India Industry Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 42
Market Overview 44
Competitive Landscape 49
Clothing And Footwear 49
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 49
Household Goods Homeware And Home Improvement 50
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 50
Electronics 50
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 50
Department Stores 51
Table: Selected Department Store Retailers 51
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 52
Table: Selected E-Commerce And Online Marketplace Retailers 52
Drugstores And Pharmacies 52
Table: Selected Drugstore And Pharmacy Retailers 52
Glossary 53
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 63
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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