The UAV Market Report 2006

The UAV Market Report 2006

What is the report about?

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have become a key force in the modern battlespace. Originally used as target drones and remotely piloted combat vehicles early in their history, it was the Vietnam War that saw them take on an entirely new role, that of stealth surveillance. Since that time, the use of UAVs in a combat environment has rapidly increased, and today they command a critical position in military arsenals from the U.S. and Europe to Asia and the Middle East.

UAVs continue to be the most dynamic growth sector within the world aerospace industry. U.S. defence spending on UAVs is projected to increase more than two-fold in the next decade, from $2 billion annualy to $4.5 billion. Worldwide funding for the aircraft is likewise expected to show a continued rapid increase.

Mirroring the expected growth in UAV funding is the rapid technological development – most especially in the IT industry – that will enable unmanned aircraft to perform increasingly more difficult missions and adapt to the changing battlespace environment of 21st century warfare.

What questions does the report answer?

* Where is the global military UAV market now? How is it likely to develop over the next decade?
* Where is the global civilian UAV market now? How is it likely to develop over the next decade?
* What new programmes and technologies are deployed or currently in development?
* What are main hurdles associated with military and civilian UAV programmes?
* What are the key drivers of UAV development?
* What are the technological challenges the defence industry faces in adapting UAVs to fit the ever-changing demands of the world’s militaries?
* What is the positioning of the main players? Who are the main companies involved in developing UAVs?

Why should you buy the report?

Government defence ministries and departments and companies should buy this report because it provides:

* A central source of information on UAVs and UAV technology
* Delves in-depth into the main issues involved in UAV research, development and production
* Examines the commitment by governments to UAV development and implementation in the world’s armed forces, as well as in the civilian world
* Provides a detailed analysis of the global UAV market
* Provides information about the latest contracts and project developments for UAVs, UUVs and UGVs
* Details the latest technological developments for UAVs

1.0 Executive summary
1.1 Significant market opportunities expected

2.0 UAV history
2.1 Israel’s pioneering use of UAVs
2.2 Global UAV proliferation increasing
2.2.1 U.S.: the dominant UAV player
2.2.2 UAVs assume growing importance

3.0 Top 10 UAV manufacturers
3.1 BAE Systems
3.2 Boeing
3.3 EADS
3.4 Elbit Systems
3.5 General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc. (GA-ASI)
3.5.1 Altair
3.5.2 Mariner
3.6 Honeywell
3.7 Israel Aircraft Industries (IAI)
3.8 Lockheed Martin
3.9 Northrop Grumman
3.10 Sagem SA
3.11 Thales

4.0 UAV definitions and typologies
4.1 Air segment
4.2 Ground segment
4.3 Mission types and design characteristics
4.4 UAV categories
4.4.1 Short- to medium-range UAVs
4.4.2 Medium Altitude Long Endurance (MALE) UAVs
4.4.3 High Altitude Long Endurance (HALE) UAVs
4.4.4 Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs)
4.4.4.1 U.S. UCAV programmes
4.4.4.1.1 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) drones
4.4.4.1.2 ‘Various’
4.4.4.1.3 ‘Cormorant’
4.4.4.1.4 ‘Hunter-Killer’
4.4.4.1.5 ‘UCAV-N’
4.4.4.2 International UCAV programmes
4.4.4.2.1 The U.K.
4.4.4.2.2 The European Union
4.4.4.2.3 Asia
4.4.5 Miniature or Micro UAVs
4.4.5.1 U.S. programme developments
4.4.5.2 Canadian programmes

5.0 UAV market overview
5.1 UAV market estimates 2006-2016
5.1.1 Rapid growth expected in U.S. UAV market
5.2 Markets by region
5.2.1 The EU market
5.3 U.S. and EU UAV spending compared
5.4 The Asia-Pacific Rim region
5.5 Global UAV activity

6.0 UAV missions
6.1 U.S. mission planning assumptions
6.2 Growth in two mission areas
6.2.1 Non-aggressive missions
6.2.2 Aggressive missions
6.3 Future missions
6.3.1 Security and paramilitary missions
6.3.2 Airlift and support

7.0 The civil UAV market
7.1 Potential civil missions
7.2 Current civil UAV operations
7.3 Roadblocks to civil UAV applications
7.4 The European market
7.5 The U.S. market
7.6 Achievements in airworthiness certification

8.0 UAV challenges
8.1 Costs
8.1.1 U.S. UAV cost baseline
8.2 Reliability
8.2.1 Reliability through improved components
8.3 Survivability
8.4 Bandwidth requirements
8.4.1 Urban warfare: a unique challenge
8.5 Operational issues
8.5.1 Field operations reveal problems
8.5.1.1 Interoperability
8.5.1.1.1 U.S. operations reveal deficiencies
8.5.1.1.2 Interoperability issues in NATO, European UAV applications
8.6 Logistical issues
8.6.1 Fuel and battery requirements
8.6.2 Integration into controlled airspace and the COA
8.6.2.1 Changes needed in national, international arrangements
8.6.2.2 Air regulations affect both military, civil UAVs
8.6.2.3 Air safety concerns increase for civil UAV usage
8.6.2.4 New rules required
8.6.2.5 ‘Access 5’ programme
8.6.2.6 UAV manufacturers seek solution to integration issue
8.6.2.7 Single global protocol needed for UAV operation

9.0 Emerging UAV technological requirements
9.1 Unmanned requirements as general technology driver
9.2 UAV technology at a watershed
9.2.1 ‘FILUR’
9.2.2 ‘SHARC’
9.2.3 ‘Barracuda’
9.3 Major technological issues
9.3.1 Control technologies
9.3.1.1 Autonomy the key development
9.3.2 Communications
9.3.3 Data links
9.3.4 Optical links
9.3.5 Network-centric communications
9.3.6 Airframe
9.3.7 Propulsion
9.3.7.1 Fuel efficiency a propulsion technology driver
9.3.8 Payload technologies
9.3.8.1 Sensors
9.3.8.2 Communications relay
9.3.8.3 Weapons

10.0 Other unmanned vehicles
10.1 Background
10.2 Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs)
10.2.1 U.S. developments
10.2.1.1 Future Combat Systems (FCS)
10.2.1.1.1 Armed Robotic Vehicle (ARV)
10.2.1.1.2 Multifunction Utility/Logistics and Equipment (MULE)
10.2.1.1.3 Small Unmanned Ground Vehicle (SUGV)
10.2.1.1.4 Gladiator Tactical Unmanned Ground Vehicle (TUGV)
10.2.1.1.5 Dragon Runner Mobile Ground Sensor System
10.2.2 Global programmes
10.2.2.1 France
10.2.2.2 Germany
10.2.2.3 Israel
10.2.2.4 United Kingdom
10.2.2.5 Canada
10.2.3 Future UGV applications growing
10.2.4 U.S. spending on UGVs and robotics
10.2.4.1 U.S. UGV programmes
10.3 Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (UUVs)
10.3.1 The U.S.
10.3.1.1 Remote Environmental Measuring Unit (REMUS)
10.3.1.2 Long Term Mine Reconnaissance System (LMRS)
10.3.1.3 Mission Reconfigurable UUV (MRUUV)
10.3.2 Israel
10.3.3 The U.K.
10.4 UUV technical issues
10.4.1 Industry engagement
10.5 Market overview
10.5.1 UUVs for the commercial market
10.5.2 The advantages of UUVs
10.5.3 UUVs provide an independent, stable platform
10.5.4 UUVs provide considerable cost savings
10.5.5 UUVs provide flexibility

11.0 Aerospace and defence industrial issues
11.1 Substitutability: unmanned vs. manned aircraft
11.1.1 Direct substitution unlikely
11.1.2 New opportunities in a competitive market
11.2 UAV national programmes and industrial capabilities

12.0 World UAV programmes
12.1 Europe
12.1.1 France
12.1.1.2 The Neuron programme
12.1.1.3 Other French programmes
12.1.2 Germany
12.1.2.1 EuroHawk
12.1.2.2 German UAV missions
12.1.2.3 Germany industry involvement
12.1.2.3.1 ‘Agile UAV in a network-centric environment’project
12.1.2.3.2 Taifun/Muecke
12.1.3 United Kingdom
12.1.4 Italy
12.1.5 Sweden
12.1.6 European Union
12.1.7 Russian Federation
12.1.7.1 Russian programmes
12.2 The Middle East
12.2.1 Israel
12.2.2 Iran
12.2.3 Turkey
12.2.4 United Arab Emirates (UAE)
12.3 Asia-Pacific Rim region
12.3.1 Indonesia
12.3.1.1 SS-5
12.3.2 North Korea
12.3.3 Singapore
12.3.3.1 ‘Blue Horizon’
12.3.3.2 ‘Fantail’
12.3.3.3 ‘Golden Eagle’
12.3.3.4 ‘LALEE’
12.3.3.5 ‘MAV-1’
12.3.3.6 ‘Mini Tailsitter’
12.3.3.7 ‘PhantomEye II’
12.3.3.8 ‘Skyblade II’
12.3.4 South Korea
12.3.5 Taiwan
12.3.5.1 ‘Chungshiang II,
12.3.5.2 ‘Ezycopter’
12.3.5.3 ‘Kestrel II’
12.3.5.4 ‘Thunder Eye’
12.3.6 Pakistan
12.3.6.1 ‘AWC Mk.I’
12.3.6.2 ‘AWC Mk.II’
12.3.6.3 ‘Bravo’
12.3.6.4 ‘Hornet’
12.3.6.5 ‘HudHud I/II’
12.3.6.6 ‘Shaspar’
12.3.6.7 ‘Vector’
12.3.6.8 ‘Vision I/II’
12.3.6.9 Future plans include acquisition and development
12.3.7 India
12.3.7.1 ‘Harpy’
12.3.7.2 ‘Heron’
12.3.7.3 ‘Nishant’
12.3.7.4 ‘Searcher II’
12.3.8 Japan
12.3.8.1 Fuji 10,660 square metre airship
12.3.8.2 Fuji RPH-2A
12.3.8.3 HALE UAV
12.3.8.4 ‘Mambow 4’
12.3.8.5 ‘Robocopter 300’
12.3.8.6 Yamaha RMAX
12.3.9 China
12.3.9.1 AW-2
12.3.9.2 AW-4 Shark
12.3.9.3 AW-12A
12.3.9.4 ASN-15
12.3.9.5 ASN-104
12.3.9.6 ASN-105B
12.3.9.7 ASN-206
12.3.9.8 ASN-207
12.3.9.9 ‘Chang Hong’
12.3.9.10 ‘Harpy’
12.3.9.11 M-22
12.3.9.12 NRIST-IZ
12.3.9.13 ‘Solar Bird’
12.3.9.14 W-30/W-50
12.3.9.15 WZ-2000
12.3.9.16 Z-2/Z-3
12.3.9.17 Zhanzhongbao
12.3.10 Singapore
12.3.11 Taiwan
12.3.12 South Korea
12.3.13 Australia
12.3.13.1 Joint Project 129
12.3.13.2 Project AIR 7000
12.3.13.3 Possible partnership on U.S. P-8A MMA programme
12.4 Latin America
12.5 Africa
12.6 The U.S.
12.6.1 UCAV development
12.6.2 Industry involvement

13.0 Future prospects and recommendations
13.1 Current limitations
13.2 Large gains in UAV capability expected
13.3 No significant opposition to UAV applications
13.4 Strong market growth expected
13.5 Forecast questionable for UCAV market
13.6 Security threats a key market driver
13.7 UAVs key to network-centric policies
13.8 WMD sensitivities may affect market development