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France Power Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Nuclear power will remain the dominant electricity source in France by generating over 75% oftotal output over our 10-year forecast period until 2025. The highest growth in capacity additions will comefrom non-hydropower renewable, bolstered by stringent emission targets hampering increasinglyunprofitable thermal power sources.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

- The French government stated it will commence the closure of the Fessenheim nuclear plant amidconcerns and protests by Germany and Switzerland regarding the plant's safety. We remain cautious onour nuclear forecasts, as conflicting statements regarding the plant's closure have been made before. Wewill factor the decrease in generation in if the closure commences.

- GE has stated that operations at the Bouchain combined-cycle plant are expected to start mid-2016, afterthe first fire of the 9HA gas turbine was successfully achieved in December 2015.

- The French government has launched a tender for the construction of small hydropower projects totalling60 megawatts (MW) of small hydropower capacity.

- A total of 180MW of biomass-fired capacity is expected to be procured between 2016 and 2018. Thelimited target is due to concerns over the sustainability of large-scale biomass projects, as a result of theirimpact on domestic forestry management.

- UK-based company Intertek has been awarded the contract for environment and planning support for theFAB interconnector project between France and the UK. Construction is expected to commence later in2016 and be completed in 2019.

Table Of Contents

France Power Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (France 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
France Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (France 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Demographic And Economic Data (France 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
France Power Forecast Scenario 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 16
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 17
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data and Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 21
Electricity Consumption 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 22
Transmission And Distribution 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 25
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
NAWE Power RRI: US Outperforms Tepid European Power Markets 26
France Power Risk/Reward Index 32
Rewards 32
Risks 33
Market Overview 34
Key Policies And Market Structure 34
Regulation And Competition 34
Sustainable Energy Policies 34
Pricing 35
France Power Projects Database 37
Competitive Landscape 39
Electricite de France (EDF) 39
Engie 40
Poweo Direct Energie 40
Areva 41
Company Profile 43
Electricite de France (EDF) 43
Table: Edf Key Financial Results 2015 47
Regional Overview 49
NAWE Power Key Themes 49
Glossary 57
Table: Glossary Of Terms 57
Methodology 58
Methodology And Sources 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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