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  4. > United States Power Report Q3 2016

United States Power Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 85 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Continued availability of cheap natural gas, coupled with the extension of tax incentives fordevelopers of wind and solar power plants, will be the main drivers of development of the US powersector over the coming years. In this context, nuclear power will struggle amid low wholesale power pricesand weak electricity consumption, leading to early reactor retirements. Significant investment in powerinfrastructure will be necessary for the system to keep up with growth in intermittent renewables anddistributed energy solutions.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- As we expect Hillary Clinton to be the next president of the US, we believe the country's energy policyover the coming four years will align with the direction set by the Environmental Protection Agency'sClean Power Plan (CPP). A Clinton presidency will not deviate from the Obama administration policyagenda on the environment and the power sector, although the eventual implementation of the CPPremains uncertain.

- On April 20 2016, the US Senate passed with large bipartisan support the Energy Policy ModernizationAct (EPMA). If successfully turned into law, the provisions included in the EPMA will create aregulatory framework conducive to strengthening, modernising and expanding the country's electricitygrid - something we have long highlighted as crucial for the growth of the US power sector. Otherprovisions align with our views for the industry or creating upside potential for our power forecastsinclude increased investment into cybersecurity, hydropower and energy efficiency.

- The US power transmission and distribution sector will offer sizeable business opportunities tocompanies across the spectrum of EPC providers, electric utilities and new market entrants targeting thesmart grid. Significant investment in power infrastructure will be necessary over the coming decade forthe US electric system to keep up with growth in intermittent renewable energy, DES and cybersecuritythreats. The Senate's EPMA bill takes important steps in facilitating public and private investment inthose critical areas.

Table Of Contents

United States Power Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (United States 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
United States Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United States 2015-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United States 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
United States Power Forecast Scenario 12
Table: US Nuclear Reactors - Planned Retirements And Additions 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United States 2014-2019) 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United States 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United States 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United States 2020-2025) 27
Electricity Consumption 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United States 2014-2019) 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United States 2020-2025) 29
Transmission and Distribution 29
Table: Canada-US Power Transmission Lines Under Development 35
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (United States 2014-2019) 35
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (United States 2020-2025) 35
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (United States 2014-2019) 36
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (United States 2020-2025) 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37
NAWE Power RRI: US Outperforms Tepid European Power Markets 37
United States Power Risk/Reward Ratings 43
Rewards 43
Risks 43
Market Overview 45
Key Policies And Market Structure 45
Regulation And Competition 45
Sustainable Energy Policies 46
Table: EPA's Clean Power Plan - Winners And Losers 47
Pricing 49
United States Power Projects Database 52
Competitive Landscape 55
Table: Pending And Completed Acquisition Deals 56
Pacific Gas And Electric Company (PGandE) 57
Southern California Edison (SCE) 57
Exelon 57
NextEra Energy (FPL And NextEra Energy Resources) 58
Southern Co 58
Dominion 59
American Electric Power 59
Mid-American/PacifiCorp 60
Xcel Energy 60
Duke Energy Corporation 61
Company Profile 62
Duke Energy 62
Table: Duke Energy - Key 2015 Adjusted Earnings Guidance Assumptions (USDmn) 66
Latest Developments 70
Regional Overview 71
NAWE Power Key Themes 71
Glossary 79
Table: Glossary Of Terms 79
Methodology 80
Methodology And Sources 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sources 83
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 83
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 84
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 85

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