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Tanzania Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 35 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: Improvements to Tanzania's poor transport logistics network will be the main driver ofconstruction industry growth throughout our 10-year forecast period, with interest in the country's nascentgas sector and the construction of the necessary export infrastructure expected only after 2020 owing todepressed commodity prices. The government will need to tackle allegations of corruption so as not to deterinvestors.Forecast & Industry Developments

- We are maintaining our forecasts of 7.6% real growth for 2016 and annual average growth of 7.4% inreal terms over our five-year forecast period up to 2020. The development of transport infrastructure,supported by international funding flows, will be the primarily driver of construction industry expansion,as the government works to improve the country's poor logistics profile and capitalise on its maritimeaccess.

- Over our full 10-year forecast period we project annual average growth of 8.4%. Nominal industry valueis projected to rise from an estimated USD5.1bn in 2015 to USD15.3bn in 2025, keeping Tanzania as thesecond-largest construction market in East Africa, behind Ethiopia.

- Persistently low commodity prices and an uncertain regulatory environment continue to deter investmentinto the country's nascent gas sector.

- Increasing activity in non-residential construction - particularly industrial and commercial developments -supports our outlook for strong industry growth.

Table Of Contents

Tanzania Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Tanzania 2016-2025) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Tanzania 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Tanzania 2016-2025) 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 17
Tanzania - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 17
Rewards 17
Risks 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: SSA RRI 26
Methodology 28
Industry Forecast Methodology 28
Sector-Specific Methodology 29
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 33
Sector-Specific Methodology 34
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 34
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 35

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