World Housing Market

Global new housing demand to rise 3% annually through 2014

The global recession of 2009 dealt a severe blow to housing markets in much of the world, most noticeably in the industrialized countries. New housing construction dropped so sharply in North America, Western Europe and Japan that those countries are expected to enjoy the fastest growth in housing construction through 2014. Despite rapid recovery rates in these areas, the level of new housing activity in 2014 will generally remain below that of a decade earlier. Worldwide, demand for new housing through 2014 is projected to advance 3.0 percent per annum, generating the construction of 53 million new housing units. Among the developing regions, the most rapid growth in new housing units will be in the Africa/Mideast region. Growth in population and household formation will support 3.9 percent annual growth in new housing construction through 2014 to eleven million units, although a significant share of the new housing built in sub-Saharan Africa will merely satisfy basic needs for shelter.

Most new housing units to be in Asia/Pacific region

The largest number of new housing units will be generated in the Asia/Pacific region, where an expected rise in new housing construction of 2.0 percent per annum will result in 31.7 million new units. That pace represents a deceleration from the 2004-2009 experience, primarily because of tepid growth of just one-half of one percent annually in the large Chinese market. Slowing population growth and a relatively high base of new construction following gains in the 1999- 2009 period will temper gains in new housing construction through 2014 in China. Although new housing construction in China will grow much more slowly than the global average, total new Chinese units will still exceed onequarter of the world total in 2014.

Global housing stock to rise 1.8% annually

The world housing stock was 1.9 billion units in 2009, roughly two percent larger than the number of households. The Asia/ Pacific region had the largest housing stock, with its nearly one billion units accounting for 52 percent of the world total; China alone represented 23 percent of the world total. The Africa/Mideast region had the second largest housing stock in 2009, with 292 million units, or 15 percent of the world total. In the aggregate, Western Europe and North America together accounted for just under one-fifth of the housing stock. The world stock of housing is forecast to rise 1.8 percent annually through 2014 to nearly 2.1 billion units. Growth in the housing stock will be slower than during the period from 1999 to 2009, in line with a deceleration in new household formation. The most rapid increases in the housing stock will be in the Africa/ Mideast region, where population growth will be well in excess of the global average. Gains will be driven both by new household formation and by efforts to expand the availability of housing for families who currently share space in one house. Central and South America will also record housing stock growth in excess of the world average, with increases of 2.1 percent per year through 2014 to 141 million units. While the Asia/ Pacific region will retain its position as the leader in housing stock, annual growth will be slightly below the world average, with a deceleration in housing construction in China moderating housing stock growth in the region.

Study coverage

This new industry study, World Housing presents historical data on new housing and housing stock (1999, 2004 and 2009) plus forecasts for 2014 and 2019 by type, world region and major national market. The study also considers the effects of market environment trends and indicators on world housing demand.

Global Building And Engineering Industry

INTRODUCTION viii

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4

General 4
World Economic Overview 5
Recent Historical Trends 5
World Economic Outlook 7
World Demographic Overview 11
Population 12
Urban Population 13
Households 15
World Residential Building Construction Expenditures 17
Legislation & Regulatory Considerations 19

III. OVERVIEW 22

General 22
Housing Stock by Region 22
Housing Stock by Housing Type 26
New Housing Demand by Region 27
New Housing Demand by Housing Type 30

IV. NORTH AMERICA 33

North America 33
United States 38
Canada 44
Mexico 49

V. WESTERN EUROPE 56

Western Europe 56
Germany 61
France 66
United Kingdom 71
Italy 75
Spain 80
Other Western Europe 86

VI. ASIA/PACIFIC 91

Asia/Pacific 91
China 96
India 103
Indonesia 108
Japan 112
Thailand 117
South Korea 122
Australia 128
Taiwan 132
Other Asia/Pacific 137

VII. OTHER REGIONS 145

Central & South America 145
Brazil 149
Argentina 153
Other Central & South America 157
Eastern Europe 161
Russia 165
Poland 170
Other Eastern Europe 174
Africa/Mideast 179
Turkey 184
South Africa 189
Other Africa/Mideast 194

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Summary Table 3

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region 11
2 World Population by Region 13
3 World Urban Population by Region 15
4 World Households by Region 17
5 World Residential Building Construction Expenditures
by Region 19

SECTION III -- OVERVIEW

1 World Housing Stock by Region 24
2 World Housing Stock by Type 27
3 World New Housing Units by Region 29
4 World New Housing Units by Type 32

SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA

1 North America -- Housing Stock 35
2 North America -- New Housing Units 38
3 United States -- Housing Stock 41
4 United States -- New Housing Units 44
5 Canada -- Housing Stock 46
6 Canada -- New Housing Units 49
7 Mexico -- Housing Stock 52
8 Mexico -- New Housing Units 55

SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE

1 Western Europe -- Housing Stock 58
2 Western Europe -- New Housing Units 60
3 Germany -- Housing Stock 63
4 Germany -- New Housing Units 66
5 France -- Housing Stock 68
6 France -- New Housing Units 70
7 United Kingdom -- Housing Stock 73
8 United Kingdom -- New Housing Units 75
9 Italy -- Housing Stock 78
10 Italy -- New Housing Units 80
11 Spain -- Housing Stock 83
12 Spain -- New Housing Units 86
13 Other Western Europe -- Housing Stock 88
14 Other Western Europe -- New Housing Units 90

SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC

1 Asia/Pacific -- Housing Stock 93
2 Asia/Pacific -- New Housing Units 95
3 China -- Housing Stock 99
4 China -- New Housing Units 102
5 India -- Housing Stock 105
6 India -- New Housing Units 107
7 Indonesia -- Housing Stock 110
8 Indonesia -- New Housing Units 112
9 Japan -- Housing Stock 115
10 Japan -- New Housing Units 117
11 Thailand -- Housing Stock 120
12 Thailand -- New Housing Units 122
13 South Korea -- Housing Stock 125
14 South Korea -- New Housing Units 128
15 Australia -- Housing Stock 130
16 Australia -- New Housing Units 132
17 Taiwan -- Housing Stock 135
18 Taiwan -- New Housing Units 137
19 Other Asia/Pacific -- Housing Stock 140
20 Other Asia/Pacific -- New Housing Units 142
21 Other Asia/Pacific -- Housing Stock
& New Housing Units by Country 144

SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS

1 Central & South America -- Housing Stock 147
2 Central & South America -- New Housing Units 149
3 Brazil -- Housing Stock 151
4 Brazil -- New Housing Units 153
5 Argentina -- Housing Stock 155
6 Argentina -- New Housing Units 157
7 Other Central & South America -- Housing Stock 159
8 Other Central & South America -- New Housing Units 161
9 Eastern Europe -- Housing Stock 163
10 Eastern Europe -- New Housing Units 165
11 Russia -- Housing Stock 168
12 Russia -- New Housing Units 170
13 Poland -- Housing Stock 172
14 Poland -- New Housing Units 174
15 Other Eastern Europe -- Housing Stock 177
16 Other Eastern Europe -- New Housing Units 179
17 Africa/Mideast -- Housing Stock 182
18 Africa/Mideast -- New Housing Units 184
19 Turkey -- Housing Stock 187
20 Turkey -- New Housing Units 189
21 South Africa -- Housing Stock 192
22 South Africa -- New Housing Units 194
23 Other Africa/Mideast -- Housing Stock 196
24 Other Africa/Mideast -- New Housing Units 198
25 Other Africa/Mideast -- Housing Stock
& New Housing Units by Country 200

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION III -- OVERVIEW

1 World Housing Stock by Region, 2009 25
2 World Growth in Households & Housing Stock, 1999-2019 25
3 World New Housing Units by Region, 2009 30

SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA

1 North America -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 36
2 United States -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 42
3 Canada -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 47
4 Mexico -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 53

SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE

1 Western Europe -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 59
2 Germany -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 64
3 France -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 69
4 United Kingdom -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 74
5 Italy -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 79
6 Spain -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 84
7 Other Western Europe -- Growth in Households
& Housing Stock 89

SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC

1 Asia/Pacific -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 94
2 China -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 100
3 India -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 106
4 Indonesia -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 111
5 Japan -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 116
6 Thailand -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 121
7 South Korea -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 126
8 Australia -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 131
9 Taiwan -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 136
10 Other Asia/Pacific -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 141

SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS

1 Central & South America -- Growth in Households
& Housing Stock 148
2 Brazil -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 152
3 Argentina -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 156
4 Other Central & South America -- Growth in Households
& Housing Stock 160
5 Eastern Europe -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 164
6 Russia -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 169
7 Poland -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 173
8 Other Eastern Europe -- Growth in Households
& Housing Stock 178
9 Africa/Mideast -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 183
10 Turkey -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 188
11 South Africa -- Growth in Households & Housing Stock 193
12 Other Africa/Mideast -- Growth in Households
& Housing Stock 197