3Q11 United States Mobile Operator Forecast, 2011 – 2015: USA to have 468 million mobile subscriber connections in 2015 with Verizon Wireless taking 31.3% market share

• Publication date: October 2011

IEMR’s Mobile Operator Forecast on the United States provides over 50 operational and financial metrics for the US wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2015. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 2Q2013. Operators covered for the United States include: Verizon Wireless, AT&T Mobility LLC, Sprint Nextel...

IEMR’s Mobile Operator Forecast on the United States provides over 50 operational and financial metrics for the US wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2015. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 2Q2013. Operators covered for the United States include: Verizon Wireless, AT&T Mobility LLC, Sprint Nextel Corporation, T-Mobile USA, Inc., Leap Wireless International, Inc., MetroPCS Communications, Inc., U.S. Cellular, Cincinnati Bell Wireless (Cincinnati Bell, Inc.), TracFone Wireless, Inc., Virgin Mobile USA, L.P., and Boost Mobile. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

IEMR’s Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50+ metrics on 800+ mobile operators in 200+ countries. Our forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

Wireless Technology Industry in the United States

Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast
Verizon Wireless
AT&T Mobility LLC
Sprint Nextel Corporation
T-Mobile USA, Inc.
Leap Wireless International, Inc.
MetroPCS Communications, Inc.
U.S. Cellular (United States Cellular Corporation)
Cincinnati Bell Wireless (Cincinnati Bell, Inc.)

TracFone Wireless, Inc.
Virgin Mobile USA, L.P.
Boost Mobile (Sprint Nextel)
(For TracFone, Virgin Mobile, and Boost Mobile, only the subscriber data is available.)

Alltel (Verizon Wireless from 2008)
Dobson Communications (AT&T Mobility from 2007)
RCC USA (Verizon Wireless from 2008)
SunCom Wireless USA (T-Mobile USA from 2008)
Western Wireless USA (acquired by Alltel in 2005)

Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2015. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2013

PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR **
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR *
MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR *
DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) *
MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR *
VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) *
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR *
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) *
MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) *
MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) *
SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) **
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) **
SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) **
EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR **
EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR **
EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR **
CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR **
CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR **
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR **
EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR **
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) *
VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) *
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) **
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) **

* Available only for Verizon, AT&T, Sprint Nextel, and T-Mobile USA
** Available only for Verizon, AT&T, Sprint Nextel, T-Mobile USA, Leap Wireless, and MetroPCS




Companies Mentioned
Verizon Wireless
AT&T Mobility LLC
Sprint Nextel Corporation
T-Mobile USA, Inc.
Leap Wireless International, Inc.
MetroPCS Communications, Inc.
U.S. Cellular (United States Cellular Corporation)
Cincinnati Bell Wireless (Cincinnati Bell, Inc.)

TracFone Wireless, Inc.
Virgin Mobile USA, L.P.
Boost Mobile (Sprint Nextel)
(For TracFone, Virgin Mobile, and Boost Mobile, only the subscriber data is available.)

Alltel (Verizon Wireless from 2008)
Dobson Communications (AT&T Mobility from 2007)
RCC USA (Verizon Wireless from 2008)
SunCom Wireless USA (T-Mobile USA from 2008)
Western Wireless USA (acquired by Alltel in 2005)

Wireless Technology in United States

United States Number Of 3g & 4g Phone Subscribers (`000)

• $ 250
• Industry data
• February 2013

Yearly, From 2006 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI Research

• Industries : Wireless Technology
• Countries : United States

United States Wireless Voice And Wireless Data Revenue, Usdmn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• February 2013

Yearly, From 2005 To 2011
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI, operator results

• Industries : Wireless Technology
• Countries : United States

United States Wireless Service And Wireless Equipment Revenues, Us$mn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• February 2013

Yearly, From 2005 To 2011
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI, operator results

• Industries : Wireless Technology
• Countries : United States

United States Number Of 3g & 4g Phone Subscribers, % Change Y-o-y

• $ 250
• Industry data
• February 2013

Yearly, From 2007 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI Research

• Industries : Wireless Technology
• Countries : United States

United States Number Of Cellular Mobile Phone Subscribers, % Change Y-o-y

• $ 250
• Industry data
• February 2013

Yearly, From 2004 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Operators, CTIA, FCC, BMI Research

• Industries : Mobile Telephony, Wireless Technology
• Countries : United States